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儿童和青少年在社区新冠病毒传播中的作用:日本全国数据的回顾性分析

Roles of Children and Adolescents in COVID-19 Transmission in the Community: A Retrospective Analysis of Nationwide Data in Japan.

作者信息

Imamura Tadatsugu, Saito Mayuko, Ko Yura K, Imamura Takeaki, Otani Kanako, Akaba Hiroki, Ninomiya Kota, Furuse Yuki, Miyahara Reiko, Sando Eiichiro, Yasuda Ikkoh, Tsuchiya Naho, Suzuki Motoi, Oshitani Hitoshi

机构信息

Japan International Cooperation Agency, Tokyo, Japan.

Center for Postgraduate Education and Training, National Center for Child Health and Development, Tokyo, Japan.

出版信息

Front Pediatr. 2021 Aug 10;9:705882. doi: 10.3389/fped.2021.705882. eCollection 2021.

Abstract

Roles of children and adolescents in spreading coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in the community is not fully understood. We analyzed the data of 7,758 children and adolescents with COVID-19 and characteristics of secondary transmission generated by these cases using case information published by local governments. Ratio of pediatric and adolescent cases generating secondary transmission was calculated for various social settings. The incidence of COVID-19 was 24.8 cases per 10 population aged between 0 and 9 years, and 59.2 among those aged between 10 and 19 years, which was lower than that among individuals of all age groups (79.6 per 10 population) between January 15 and October 31, 2020. The proportion of cases generating secondary cases was 8.3% among infants and young children in nursery schools and kindergartens, 16% among children and adolescents attending primary schools, 34% among those attending junior high schools, 43% among those attending high schools, 31% among those attending professional training colleges, and 24% in those attending universities. Households were the most common setting for secondary transmission. The risk of generating secondary cases might be limited among pediatric and adolescent cases with COVID-19, especially in settings outside households. Effectiveness of traditional mitigation measures (e.g., school closures) to suppress COVID-19 transmissions should be carefully evaluated.

摘要

儿童和青少年在社区传播2019冠状病毒病(COVID-19)中的作用尚未完全明确。我们利用地方政府公布的病例信息,分析了7758例COVID-19儿童和青少年的数据以及这些病例产生的二代传播特征。计算了不同社会环境下产生二代传播的儿童和青少年病例的比例。2020年1月15日至10月31日期间,0至9岁人群中COVID-19发病率为每10人中有24.8例,10至19岁人群中为59.2例,低于所有年龄组人群(每10人中有79.6例)。在托儿所和幼儿园的婴幼儿中,产生二代病例的比例为8.3%,在就读小学的儿童和青少年中为16%,在就读初中的人群中为34%,在就读高中的人群中为43%,在就读职业培训学院的人群中为31%,在就读大学的人群中为24%。家庭是二代传播最常见的环境。COVID-19儿童和青少年病例产生二代病例的风险可能有限,尤其是在家庭以外的环境中。应仔细评估传统缓解措施(如学校关闭)对抑制COVID-19传播的有效性。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/29d9/8382948/ac6f01aa5482/fped-09-705882-g0001.jpg

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