全球航空运输网络对 COVID-19 等全球灾难的脆弱性。
Vulnerability of the worldwide air transportation network to global catastrophes such as COVID-19.
作者信息
Zhou Yaoming, Kundu Tanmoy, Qin Wei, Goh Mark, Sheu Jiuh-Biing
机构信息
Department of Industrial Engineering & Management, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China.
The Logistics Institute - Asia Pacific, National University of Singapore, Singapore.
出版信息
Transp Res E Logist Transp Rev. 2021 Oct;154:102469. doi: 10.1016/j.tre.2021.102469. Epub 2021 Aug 30.
This paper studies the vulnerability of the worldwide air transportation network (WATN) during a global catastrophe such as COVID-19. Considering the WATN as a weighted network, many airport connections could be completely or partially disrupted during such extreme events. However, it is found that existing weighted metrics cannot reflect the impact of connection capacity reduction on network connectivity. Therein, this work proposes a novel network efficiency metric termed as layered weighted network efficiency (LWNE) metric to measure the connectivity of the air transportation networks (ATNs) and study their vulnerability in response to different levels of disruptions, including airport level, country level, and global level. The most critical airport connections and their impact on network connectivity are identified. It is found that the critical connections are mostly between so-called bridge airports but not core airports in the WATN. By examining the impact of partial link disruptions, it is found that some connections mainly serve local travel demand and are very robust to partial disruptions, while the others connecting global hubs are sensitive to partial disruptions. Further, the WATN is robust to the individual disconnection of most countries; however, it is vulnerable to the simultaneous disconnection of countries that serve international transfers. Interestingly, the WATN is insensitive to the disconnection between any two countries, even those with sizeable domestic ATNs. Concerning global disconnections, as long as all the international connections hold 10% of their original flights, the WATN can still expect 40% of its pre-disruption performance. This paper deepens the understanding of ATNs under extreme events and provides a method for studying transportation networks' vulnerability facing global disruptions.
本文研究了全球航空运输网络(WATN)在诸如新冠疫情这样的全球灾难期间的脆弱性。将WATN视为加权网络,在这类极端事件中,许多机场连接可能会完全或部分中断。然而,研究发现现有的加权指标无法反映连接容量减少对网络连通性的影响。在此,这项工作提出了一种新颖的网络效率指标,称为分层加权网络效率(LWNE)指标,以衡量航空运输网络(ATN)的连通性,并研究它们在应对不同程度中断(包括机场层面、国家层面和全球层面)时的脆弱性。识别出了最关键的机场连接及其对网络连通性的影响。研究发现,关键连接大多位于所谓的桥梁机场之间,而非WATN中的核心机场。通过研究部分链路中断的影响,发现一些连接主要服务于本地出行需求,对部分中断具有很强的鲁棒性,而其他连接全球枢纽的连接则对部分中断很敏感。此外,WATN对大多数国家的个别断开具有鲁棒性;然而,它容易受到服务国际转机国家同时断开的影响。有趣的是,WATN对任意两个国家之间的断开不敏感,即使是那些拥有规模较大国内航空运输网络的国家。关于全球断开,只要所有国际连接保持其原航班数量的10%,WATN仍可期望达到其中断前性能的40%。本文加深了对极端事件下航空运输网络的理解,并提供了一种研究交通网络面对全球中断时脆弱性的方法。