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Unreliable predictions about COVID-19 infections and hospitalizations make people worry: The case of Italy.

作者信息

Divino Fabio, Ciccozzi Massimo, Farcomeni Alessio, Jona-Lasinio Giovanna, Lovison Gianfranco, Maruotti Antonello

机构信息

Laboratory of Biostatistics and Computational Epidemiology, Department of Biosciences, University of Molise, Campobasso, Italy.

Medical Statistics and Epidemiology Unit, Università Campus Bio-Medico di Roma, Rome, Italy.

出版信息

J Med Virol. 2022 Jan;94(1):26-28. doi: 10.1002/jmv.27325. Epub 2021 Sep 15.

Abstract
摘要

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本文引用的文献

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Misspecified modeling of subsequent waves during COVID-19 outbreak: A change-point growth model.
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Long-term forecasts of the COVID-19 epidemic: a dangerous idea.
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