Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore MD, USA.
Department of Medicine, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Int J Infect Dis. 2021 Dec;113:7-11. doi: 10.1016/j.ijid.2021.09.034. Epub 2021 Sep 20.
This study sought to evaluate the utility of the Global Health Security (GHS) index in predicting the launch of COVID-19 vaccine rollout by Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) member countries.
Country-level data on the preparedness to respond to infectious disease threats through vaccination rollout were collected using the GHS index. OECD member countries were rank-ordered based on the percentage of their populations fully vaccinated against COVID-19. Rank-ordering was conducted from the lowest to the highest, with each country assigned a score ranging from 1 to 33. Spearman's rank correlation between the GHS index and the percentage of the population that is fully vaccinated was also performed.
Israel, ranked 34 in the world on the GHS index for pandemic preparedness, had the highest percentage of the population that was fully vaccinated against COVID-19 within 2 months of the global vaccine rollout. The Spearman rank correlation coefficient between GHS index and the percentage of population fully vaccinated was -0.1378, with a p-value of 0.43.
The findings suggest an absence of correlation between the GHS index rating and the COVID-19 vaccine rollout of OECD countries, indicating that the preparedness of OECD countries for infectious disease threats may not be accurately reflected by the GHS index.
本研究旨在评估全球卫生安全（GHS）指数在预测经合组织（OECD）成员国推出 COVID-19 疫苗方面的效用。
使用 GHS 指数收集了通过疫苗接种推出来应对传染病威胁的国家准备情况的国家层面数据。根据 COVID-19 完全接种疫苗的人口比例，对 OECD 成员国进行了排名。排名从最低到最高进行，每个国家的得分为 1 到 33 之间的一个分数。还对 GHS 指数和完全接种疫苗的人口百分比之间进行了 Spearman 等级相关分析。
在全球疫苗推出后 2 个月内，在大流行准备方面在 GHS 指数中全球排名第 34 位的以色列，其 COVID-19 完全接种疫苗的人口比例最高。GHS 指数和完全接种疫苗人口百分比之间的 Spearman 等级相关系数为-0.1378，p 值为 0.43。
这些发现表明 GHS 指数评分与 OECD 国家 COVID-19 疫苗接种之间没有相关性，这表明 OECD 国家对传染病威胁的准备情况可能无法被 GHS 指数准确反映。
