Evaluation of the prognostic ability of serum uric acid for elderly acute coronary syndrome patients with diabetes mellitus: a prospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVES

This study evaluated the prognostic power of serum uric acid (UA) in predicting adverse events in elderly acute coronary syndrome (ACS) patients with diabetes mellitus (DM).

METHODS

The analysis involved 718 ACS patients ‍>80 years old whose general clinical data and baseline blood biochemical indicators were collected prospectively from January 2006 to December 2012. These patients were classified into two groups based on DM status, and then followed up after discharge. The Kaplan-Meier method was used for major adverse cardiac event (MACE) rates and all-cause mortality. Multivariate Cox regression was performed to analyze the relationship between UA level and long-term clinical prognosis. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were analyzed to predict the cutoff value of UA in elderly ACS patients with DM. There were 242 and 476 patients in the DM and non-DM (NDM) groups, respectively, and the follow-up time after discharge was 40‒120 months (median, 63 months; interquartile range, 51‒74 months).

RESULTS

The all-cause mortality, cardiac mortality, and MACE rates in both DM and NDM patients were higher than those in the control group (=0.001). All-cause mortalities, cardiac mortalities, and MACE rates in DM patients with moderate and high UA levels were significantly higher than those in the NDM group (=0.001). Long-term survival rates decreased significantly with increased UA levels in the ACS groups (=0.001). UA (odds ratio (OR)=2.106, 95% confidence interval (CI)=1.244‒3.568, =0.006) was found to be an independent risk factor for all-cause mortality and MACE in elderly ACS patients with DM. The cutoff value of UA was 353.6 μmol/L (sensitivity, 67.4%; specificity, 65.7%).

CONCLUSIONS

Serum UA level is a strong independent predictor of long-term all-cause death and MACE in elderly ACS patients with DM.