El Khamlichi Sokaina, Maurady Amal, Sedqui Abdelfettah
Laboratory of Innovative Technologies, National School of Applied Sciences of Tangier, Abdelmalek Essaâdi University, Tangier, Morocco.
Faculty of Sciences and Techniques, Abdelmalek Essaâdi University, Tangier, Morocco.
J Oral Biol Craniofac Res. 2022 Jan-Feb;12(1):165-176. doi: 10.1016/j.jobcr.2021.10.004. Epub 2021 Oct 9.
The COVID-19 health crisis has created a disastrous situation worldwide. All nations are facing this pandemic, including eastern Mediterranean countries. The aim of this study is to assess and compare the impact of this devastating pandemic on lower-middle-income countries in the eastern Mediterranean region, identify the leading causes of its spread, examine the various risk factors associated with its virulence in each country, and provide effective intervention strategies to contain it.
Using the analysis of variance method, this research compares infection, case fatality, recovery, and positivity rates in seven countries, namely, Morocco, Tunisia, Egypt, Djibouti, Pakistan, Sudan, and Palestine. It focuses on their daily reported confirmed incidents, recoveries, deaths, and tests.
The results highlight the significant differences in the effect of COVID-19 in these countries. Regarding the infection rate, Djibouti and Palestine have the highest rate, which could be related to the high poverty and the young population in these countries. However, it has been demonstrated that Tunisia, Djibouti, Egypt, and Sudan have the greatest case fatality rate in this comparison, which might be attributed to the relatively old population in Tunisia, the co-morbidity in Egypt, and the deficiency of the healthcare system in Djibouti and Sudan. Furthermore, the comparison of the recovery rate in these countries indicates that Djibouti has the highest recovery rate, which might be due to the young population.
This work allows us to come up with recommendations that could support policymakers to act efficiently in containing the pandemic flare-up.
新冠疫情引发的健康危机在全球造成了灾难性局面。所有国家都在应对这一疫情，包括东地中海地区国家。本研究旨在评估和比较这场毁灭性疫情对东地中海地区中低收入国家的影响，确定其传播的主要原因，研究每个国家与其毒力相关的各种风险因素，并提供有效的干预策略以控制疫情。
本研究采用方差分析方法，比较了摩洛哥、突尼斯、埃及、吉布提、巴基斯坦、苏丹和巴勒斯坦这七个国家的感染率、病死率、康复率和阳性率。研究重点关注各国每日报告的确诊病例、康复病例、死亡病例和检测情况。
结果凸显了新冠疫情在这些国家造成的影响存在显著差异。在感染率方面，吉布提和巴勒斯坦的感染率最高，这可能与这些国家的高贫困率和年轻人口有关。然而，在此次比较中发现，突尼斯、吉布提、埃及和苏丹的病死率最高，这可能归因于突尼斯相对老龄的人口、埃及的合并症以及吉布提和苏丹医疗体系的不足。此外，这些国家康复率的比较表明，吉布提的康复率最高，这可能是由于其年轻人口。
这项研究使我们能够提出相关建议，以支持政策制定者有效应对疫情爆发。
