Alberto Rizzi Miguel, Domingo Ruiz, Aitor Alquezar, Sergio Herrera Mateo, Pascual Piñera, Mireia Puig, Salvador Benito, Herminia Torres Olga
Emergency Department, Hospital de la Santa Creu i Sant Pau, Sant Antoni Maria Claret 167, 08025, Barcelona, Spain.
Medicine Department, Universidad Autónoma de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.
Eur Geriatr Med. 2018 Aug;9(4):515-522. doi: 10.1007/s41999-018-0072-0. Epub 2018 Jun 14.
Heart failure (HF) is prevalent in older adults and is associated with impaired physical and cognitive function. However, these factors are rarely included in studies about long-term prognosis of HF. The aim of the study was to determine whether functional status and delirium at admission (prevalent delirium) would predict 1-year mortality in patients with decompensated HF (DHF).
We performed a prospective observational study in adult patients with DHF attended at two Spanish Emergency Departments (ED) in the context of the Epidemiology Acute HF Emergency project. Functional status was assessed by Barthel Index (BI) and prevalent delirium by the Brief Confusion Assessment Method within the first 24 h of admission. We used Kaplan-Meier survival curves for delirium and multivariable Cox regression models to estimated hazard ratio (HR) and survival probability for death while adjusting for six potential confounders.
We enrolled 239 patients (age 81.7 ± 9.4 years, women 61.1%). BI < 60 was 23.4 and 14.6% of patients had delirium. Age (HR 1.046 CI 95% 1.014-1.080, p < 0.004) and BI (HR 0.979 CI 95% 0.972-0.979, p < 0.001) were independently associated with 1-year mortality. In patients without severe functional dependence at admission, delirium (HR 3.579 CI 95% 1.730-7.403, p < 0.001) and age (HR 1.051 CI 95% 1.014-1.090, p = 0.007) independently predicted long-term mortality.
Age and functional dependence are strong predictors of long-term mortality in patients with DHF. In patients without severe functional dependence, delirium-a potentially modifiable risk factor-identified a subgroup of patients with higher mortality. Evaluating functional status and delirium in ED could improve decision-making and future care of patients with DHF.
心力衰竭(HF)在老年人中普遍存在,且与身体和认知功能受损有关。然而,在关于HF长期预后的研究中,这些因素很少被纳入。本研究的目的是确定入院时的功能状态和谵妄(现患谵妄)是否能预测失代偿性HF(DHF)患者的1年死亡率。
在西班牙两个急诊科开展的急性HF急诊流行病学项目中,我们对成年DHF患者进行了一项前瞻性观察研究。在入院后的头24小时内,通过Barthel指数(BI)评估功能状态,通过简易精神状态检查表评估现患谵妄。我们使用谵妄的Kaplan-Meier生存曲线和多变量Cox回归模型来估计风险比(HR)和死亡的生存概率,同时对六个潜在混杂因素进行校正。
我们纳入了239例患者(年龄81.7±9.4岁,女性占61.1%)。BI<60的患者占23.4%,有谵妄的患者占14.6%。年龄(HR 1.046,95%CI 1.014 - 1.080,p<0.004)和BI(HR 0.979,95%CI 0.972 - 0.979,p<0.001)与1年死亡率独立相关。在入院时无严重功能依赖的患者中,谵妄(HR 3.579,95%CI 1.730 - 7.403,p<0.001)和年龄(HR 1.051,95%CI 1.014 - 1.090,p = 0.007)独立预测长期死亡率。
年龄和功能依赖是DHF患者长期死亡率的强有力预测因素。在无严重功能依赖的患者中,谵妄(一个潜在可改变的危险因素)可识别出死亡率较高的患者亚组。在急诊科评估功能状态和谵妄可改善DHF患者的决策制定和未来护理。