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中年幸福感下降:一项批判性分析。

The Mid-Life Dip in Well-Being: a Critique.

作者信息

Blanchflower David G, Graham Carol L

机构信息

Bruce V. Rauner Professor of Economics, Department of Economics, Dartmouth College, Hanover, USA.

Adam Smith Business School, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, Scotland.

出版信息

Soc Indic Res. 2022;161(1):287-344. doi: 10.1007/s11205-021-02773-w. Epub 2021 Oct 19.

Abstract

A number of studies-including our own-find a mid-life dip in well-being. Yet several papers in the psychology literature claim that the evidence of a U-shape is "" and if there is such a thing that any such decline is "". Others have claimed that the evidence of a U-shape " or simply We identify 409 studies, mostly published in peer reviewed journals that find U-shapes that these researchers apparently were unaware of. We use data for Europe from the Eurobarometer Surveys (EB), 1980-2019; the Gallup World Poll (GWP), 2005-2019 and the UK's Annual Population Survey, 2016-2019 and the Census Bureau's Household Pulse Survey of August 2021, to examine U-shapes in age in well-being. We find remarkably strong and consistent evidence across countries of statistically significant and non-trivial U-shapes in age with and without socio-economic controls. We show that studies cited by psychologists claiming there are no U-shapes are in error; we reexamine their data and find differently. The effects of the mid-life dip we find are comparable to major life events such as losing a spouse or becoming unemployed. This decline is comparable to half of the unprecedented fall in well-being observed in the UK in 2020 and 2021, during the Covid19 pandemic and lockdown, which is hardly "" as claimed.

摘要

包括我们自己的研究在内,许多研究都发现幸福感在中年时会下降。然而,心理学文献中的几篇论文声称,U型曲线的证据是“……”,而且如果存在这样的事情,那么任何此类下降都是“……”。其他人则声称,U型曲线的证据“……”,或者干脆是“……”。我们识别出409项研究,其中大部分发表在同行评审期刊上,这些研究发现了U型曲线,而这些研究人员显然并未意识到。我们使用了1980 - 2019年欧洲晴雨表调查(EB)、2005 - 2019年盖洛普世界民意调查(GWP)、2016 - 2019年英国年度人口调查以及2021年8月人口普查局的家庭脉搏调查中的欧洲数据,来研究幸福感随年龄变化的U型曲线。我们发现,无论是否有社会经济控制因素,各国都有非常有力且一致的证据表明年龄与幸福感之间存在具有统计学意义且显著的U型曲线。我们表明,心理学家引用的声称不存在U型曲线的研究是错误的;我们重新审视了他们的数据,得出了不同的结论。我们发现中年幸福感下降的影响与诸如失去配偶或失业等重大生活事件相当。这种下降相当于2020年和2021年英国在新冠疫情和封锁期间观察到的幸福感前所未有的下降幅度的一半,这很难说是如所声称的“……”。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/fbde/8525618/1462e290108c/11205_2021_2773_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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