CT-Based Peritumoral and Intratumoral Radiomics as Pretreatment Predictors of Atypical Responses to Immune Checkpoint Inhibitor Across Tumor Types: A Preliminary Multicenter Study.

OBJECTIVE

To develop and validate a new strategy based on radiomics features extracted from intra- and peritumoral regions on CT images for the prediction of atypical responses to the immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) in cancer patients.

METHODS

In total, 135 patients derived from five hospitals with pathologically confirmed malignancies receiving ICI were included in this retrospective study. Atypical responses including pseudoprogression (PsP) and hyperprogression disease (HPD) were identified as their definitions. A subgroup of standard progression disease (sPD) in 2018 was also involved in this study. Based on pretreatment CT imaging, a total of 107 features were extracted from intra- and peri-tumoral regions, respectively. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (Lasso) algorithm was used for feature selection, and multivariate logistic analysis was used to develop radiomics signature (RS). Finally, a total of nine RSs, derived from intra-tumoral, peri-tumoral, and combination of both regions, were built respectively to distinguish PsP . HPD, PsP . sPD, and HPD . sPD. The performance of the RSs was evaluated with discrimination, calibration, and clinical usefulness.

RESULTS

No significant difference was found when compared in terms of clinical characteristics of PsP, HPD, and sPD. RS based on combined regions outperformed those from either intra-tumoral or peri-tumoral alone, yielding an AUC (accuracy) of 0.834 (0.827) for PsP . HPD, 0.923 (0.868) for PsP . sPD, and 0.959 (0.894) for HPD . sPD in the training datasets, and 0.835 (0.794) for PsP . HPD, 0.919 (0.867) for PsP . sPD, and 0.933 (0.842) for HPD . sPD in the testing datasets. The combined RS showed good fitness (Hosmer-Lemeshow test p > 0.05) and provided more net benefit than the treat-none or treat-all scheme by decision curve analysis in both training and testing datasets.

CONCLUSION

Pretreatment radiomics are helpful to predict atypical responses to ICI across tumor types. The combined RS outperformed those from either intra- or peri-tumoral alone which may provide a more comprehensive characterization of atypical responses to ICI.