Chen Xiaoyuan, Rong Dawei, Zhang Long, Ni Chuangye, Han Guoyong, Lu Yiwei, Chen Xuejiao, Gao Yun, Wang Xuehao
School of Medicine, Southeast University, Nanjing, China.
Hepatobiliary Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China.
Ann Transl Med. 2021 Sep;9(17):1359. doi: 10.21037/atm-21-2785.
Lymph node metastasis (LNM) is a well-established prognostic factor for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC), but there are still some controversies relating to the evaluation of nodal status. Therefore, we investigated the role of lymph node dissection (LND), compared the prognostic performances of different nodal staging systems, and then developed and validated a nomogram to predict cancer-specific survival (CSS) of ICC patients.
The study cohort was taken from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. Akaike information criterion, Bayesian information criterion, Harrell's C-index and area under the receiver operating characteristic curves were calculated to evaluate the different staging models. The nomogram for the CSS was constructed based on Cox regression models and validated by calibration curves. Decision curve analysis was introduced to examine the clinical value of the models.
A total of 664 patients were enrolled, and 331 (51.4%) patients underwent LND. An increasing number of lymph nodes retrieved showed no oncologic benefit (P=0.876). LNM was identified in 103 (31.1%) patients, which was the cause of their poor prognoses (5-yr CSS 13.1% versus 44.9%, P<0.001). Patients without LNM could not benefit from adjuvant therapy after propensity score matching (P=0.140). Based on the Youden index, 4 or more lymph nodes retrieved might be adequate for accurate staging. The lymph node ratio (LNR) classification, with an optimal cut-off value of 0.15, displayed the best prognostic performance. Age, size, tumor number, T Stage, grade and the LNR classification were independent predictive factors for the CSS in ICC patients. The nomogram for predicting the CSS of ICC patients according to the independent factors was well calibrated and it showed better discrimination power and higher net benefits than the American Joint Committee on Cancer (8th edition) staging system.
LNM is an independent prognostic factor in ICC. Although it shows no oncologic benefits, LND should still be considered as a method of stratifying patients, with 4 or more lymph nodes retrieved potentially enough to do so. LNR appears to be a promising and easy-to-use prognosticator for nodal staging. The constructed nomogram could serve as an effective tool to predict the CSS probabilities of ICC patients.
淋巴结转移(LNM)是肝内胆管癌(ICC)公认的预后因素,但在淋巴结状态评估方面仍存在一些争议。因此,我们研究了淋巴结清扫(LND)的作用,比较了不同淋巴结分期系统的预后性能,然后开发并验证了一种列线图以预测ICC患者的癌症特异性生存(CSS)。
研究队列取自监测、流行病学和最终结果数据库。计算赤池信息准则、贝叶斯信息准则、Harrell's C指数和受试者工作特征曲线下面积以评估不同的分期模型。基于Cox回归模型构建CSS列线图,并通过校准曲线进行验证。引入决策曲线分析以检验模型的临床价值。
共纳入664例患者,其中331例(51.4%)患者接受了LND。取出的淋巴结数量增加未显示出肿瘤学获益(P = 0.876)。103例(31.1%)患者被确定有LNM,这是其预后不良的原因(5年CSS为13.1%对44.9%,P < 0.001)。倾向评分匹配后,无LNM的患者无法从辅助治疗中获益(P = 0.140)。基于约登指数,取出4个或更多淋巴结可能足以进行准确分期。淋巴结比率(LNR)分类的最佳截断值为0.15,显示出最佳的预后性能。年龄、大小、肿瘤数量、T分期、分级和LNR分类是ICC患者CSS的独立预测因素。根据独立因素预测ICC患者CSS的列线图校准良好,与美国癌症联合委员会(第8版)分期系统相比,它显示出更好的辨别能力和更高的净效益。
LNM是ICC的独立预后因素。尽管未显示出肿瘤学获益,但LND仍应被视为对患者进行分层的一种方法,取出4个或更多淋巴结可能足以做到这一点。LNR似乎是一种有前景且易于使用的淋巴结分期预后指标。构建的列线图可作为预测ICC患者CSS概率的有效工具。