Spears Dean, Budolfson Mark
Economics Department and Population Research Center, University of Texas at Austin; Economics and Planning Unit, Indian Statistical Institute - Delhi Centre; IZA; Institute for Future Studies, Stockholm.
Center for Population-Level Bioethics, Department of Environmental and Occupational Health and Justice, and Department of Philosophy, Rutgers University.
Soc Choice Welfare. 2021 Oct;57(3):567-588. doi: 10.1007/s00355-021-01321-2. Epub 2021 Mar 30.
The population ethics literature has long focused on attempts to avoid the repugnant conclusion. We show that a large set of social orderings that are conventionally understood to escape the repugnant conclusion do not in fact avoid it in all instances. As we demonstrate, prior results depend on formal definitions of the repugnant conclusion that exclude some repugnant cases, for reasons inessential to any "repugnance" (or other meaningful normative properties) of the repugnant conclusion. In particular, the literature traditionally formalizes the repugnant conclusion to exclude cases that include an unaffected sub-population. We relax this normatively irrelevant exclusion, and others. Using several more inclusive formalizations of the repugnant conclusion, we then prove that any plausible social ordering implies some instance of the repugnant conclusion. This understanding - that it is impossible to avoid all instances of the repugnant conclusion - is broader than the traditional understanding in the literature that the repugnant conclusion can only be escaped at unappealing theoretical costs. Therefore, the repugnant conclusion provides no methodological guidance for theory or policy-making, because it does not discriminate among candidate social orderings. So escaping the repugnant conclusion should not be a core goal of the population ethics literature.
人口伦理学文献长期以来一直致力于避免令人厌恶的结论。我们表明,一大批通常被认为能避开令人厌恶的结论的社会排序,实际上并非在所有情况下都能避免。正如我们所证明的,先前的结果依赖于对令人厌恶的结论的形式化定义,这些定义排除了一些令人厌恶的情况,而这些排除的原因对于令人厌恶的结论的任何“令人厌恶”(或其他有意义的规范属性)来说并非至关重要。特别是,传统文献将令人厌恶的结论形式化,以排除包含未受影响子群体的情况。我们放宽了这种在规范上无关紧要的排除以及其他一些排除。通过对令人厌恶的结论采用几种更具包容性的形式化方法,我们证明了任何合理的社会排序都意味着令人厌恶的结论的某些实例。这种认识——即不可能避免令人厌恶的结论的所有实例——比文献中的传统认识更为宽泛,传统认识认为只有以不具吸引力的理论代价才能避开令人厌恶的结论。因此,令人厌恶的结论并未为理论或政策制定提供方法论指导,因为它无法区分候选的社会排序。所以,避开令人厌恶的结论不应成为人口伦理学文献的核心目标。