Rothschild Nathan
Biotechnology, Tel-Hai College, Tel-Hai, ISR.
Cureus. 2021 Oct 7;13(10):e18557. doi: 10.7759/cureus.18557. eCollection 2021 Oct.
The novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a global pandemic generated by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). The primary infection site is mucosal surfaces, mainly the lungs and the intestine, where epithelial cells can be infected. COVID-19 has spread throughout the world, causing millions of deaths and hundreds of millions of confirmed infections. Despite the global spread of SARS-CoV-2, there are extreme differences between countries in mortality rates and confirmed infections.
Pearson correlations and a t-test were performed on data from 137 countries in order to test the correlation between number of deaths from diarrheal diseases (pre-COVID-19 pandemic data) as a marker for countries' sanitation level, and the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases and deaths per million.
It was found that countries' prevalence of confirmed COVID-19 cases and deaths per million are statistically correlated with their sanitation level.
The hypothesis proposed in this article is that the low mortality rates from COVID-19 in countries where the level of sanitation is low are due to fecal-oral infection of the population by SARS-CoV-2, rather than infection of the respiratory system. This hypothesis is supported by the protective effect of the low sanitation level presented in this work and the fact that lung infection by SARS-CoV-2 can cause severe pathology, while infection in the intestine generally causes minor or no symptoms.
2019年新型冠状病毒病(COVID-19)是由严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒2(SARS-CoV-2)引发的全球大流行疾病。主要感染部位是黏膜表面,主要是肺部和肠道,上皮细胞可能在此处受到感染。COVID-19已在全球传播,导致数百万人死亡和数亿人确诊感染。尽管SARS-CoV-2在全球传播,但各国在死亡率和确诊感染病例方面存在极大差异。
对137个国家的数据进行Pearson相关性分析和t检验,以检验腹泻病死亡人数(COVID-19大流行前的数据)作为各国卫生水平的一个指标,与每百万人口中COVID-19确诊病例数和死亡数之间的相关性。
发现各国每百万人口中COVID-19确诊病例数和死亡数的流行率与它们的卫生水平在统计学上具有相关性。
本文提出的假设是,卫生水平较低国家中COVID-19死亡率较低是由于SARS-CoV-2通过粪口途径感染人群,而非呼吸系统感染。这项研究中呈现的低卫生水平的保护作用以及SARS-CoV-2肺部感染会导致严重病变而肠道感染通常导致轻微症状或无症状这一事实支持了这一假设。