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使用数学模型分析线性生长。II. 3至21岁年龄段。

Analysis of linear growth using a mathematical model. II. From 3 to 21 years of age.

作者信息

Karlberg J, Fryer J G, Engström I, Karlberg P

机构信息

Department of Anatomy, University of Gothenburg, Sweden.

出版信息

Acta Paediatr Scand Suppl. 1987;337:12-29. doi: 10.1111/j.1651-2227.1987.tb17122.x.

Abstract

The 'ICP growth model' (ICP = Infancy, Childhood and Puberty components) represents linear growth from 3 years of age to maturity by a combination of a slowly decelerating childhood component together with a sigmoid puberty component, the latter acting only during adolescence. Linear growth is analysed for 157 longitudinally followed healthy infants using this model. The main aim is to assess the ability of the ICP model to describe and evaluate individual growth patterns in healthy children with particular emphasis on the considerable individual variation in the timing of puberty and the shape of the pubertal growth spurt. The use of the model to evaluate growth longitudinally over both short and long periods is also outlined. Reference values based on the ICP approach, the ICP Standard, seem to have a number of advantages in comparison with cross-sectional standards. In the 'Prepubertal ICP Standard', the contribution of the puberty component is omitted. The standard can be applied on an individual basis to evaluate prepubertal growth and pubertal onset, independently of the timing of puberty. By using the 'Pubertal ICP Standard' both the difference in pubertal maturation and the negative relationship between the size of the pubertal gain and the timing of puberty are taken into account. The fact that the gain in the puberty component is time-invariant, and can thus be aligned with the timing of puberty for an individual child, forms the basis of this approach. The analyses have also revealed a new predictor for final height, which is termed HAPO (height adjusted for pubertal onset). This predictor is based on age and attained size at onset of puberty--the 'onset' regression line.

摘要

“ICP生长模型”(ICP = 婴儿期、儿童期和青春期组成部分)通过将缓慢减速的儿童期组成部分与S形青春期组成部分相结合,来代表从3岁到成熟阶段的线性生长,后者仅在青春期起作用。使用该模型对157名纵向跟踪的健康婴儿的线性生长进行了分析。主要目的是评估ICP模型描述和评估健康儿童个体生长模式的能力,特别强调青春期时间和青春期生长突增形状方面存在的显著个体差异。还概述了使用该模型在短期和长期内纵向评估生长的情况。与横断面标准相比,基于ICP方法的参考值,即ICP标准,似乎具有许多优势。在“青春期前ICP标准”中,省略了青春期组成部分的贡献。该标准可用于个体,以评估青春期前的生长和青春期开始情况,而与青春期时间无关。通过使用“青春期ICP标准”,既考虑了青春期成熟的差异,也考虑了青春期增长幅度与青春期时间之间的负相关关系。青春期组成部分的增长是时间不变的,因此可以与个体儿童的青春期时间对齐,这一事实构成了该方法的基础。分析还揭示了一个预测最终身高的新指标,称为HAPO(根据青春期开始调整的身高)。该指标基于青春期开始时的年龄和已达到的身高——“开始”回归线。

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