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新冠疫情之前及期间南非股票市场的汇率风险敞口。

Exchange rate exposure in the South African stock market before and during the COVID-19 pandemic.

作者信息

Iyke Bernard Njindan, Ho Sin-Yu

机构信息

Centre for Financial Econometrics, Deakin Business School, Deakin University.

Department of Economics, College of Economic and Management Sciences University of South Africa.

出版信息

Financ Res Lett. 2021 Nov;43:102000. doi: 10.1016/j.frl.2021.102000. Epub 2021 Mar 2.

DOI:10.1016/j.frl.2021.102000
PMID:34812255
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC8597415/
Abstract

We examine the nature of exchange rate exposure before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. Using a multifactor arbitrage pricing model and daily data from South Africa, we show that, as compared with sectors, industries have been more exposed to the exchange rate risk during than before the pandemic. We further show that exchange rate exposure mostly hurts the sectors and industries, although a few sectors, such as beverages, mining, personal goods, and tobacco, and industries, such as basic materials, consumer goods, and technology, may benefit from it. Our estimates survived robustness checks.

摘要

我们研究了新冠疫情之前及期间汇率风险敞口的性质。利用多因素套利定价模型以及来自南非的日数据,我们发现,与各部门相比,各行业在疫情期间比疫情之前面临着更高的汇率风险。我们进一步表明,汇率风险敞口大多对各部门和行业造成损害,不过少数部门,如饮料、采矿、个人用品和烟草业,以及少数行业,如基础材料、消费品和科技行业,可能从中受益。我们的估计结果通过了稳健性检验。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/fa17/8597415/648731d5f714/gr1_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/fa17/8597415/648731d5f714/gr1_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/fa17/8597415/648731d5f714/gr1_lrg.jpg

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本文引用的文献

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2
COVID-19 lockdowns, stimulus packages, travel bans, and stock returns.新冠疫情封锁措施、经济刺激计划、旅行禁令与股票回报
Financ Res Lett. 2021 Jan;38:101732. doi: 10.1016/j.frl.2020.101732. Epub 2020 Aug 20.
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Stock return predictability over four centuries: The role of commodity returns.四个世纪以来的股票回报可预测性:大宗商品回报的作用。
政策应对措施是否在新冠疫情危机期间影响了信贷与商业周期的协同变动?来自印度尼西亚的证据。
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The impact of COVID-19 on emerging stock markets.新冠疫情对新兴股票市场的影响。
Financ Res Lett. 2020 Oct;36:101691. doi: 10.1016/j.frl.2020.101691. Epub 2020 Jul 10.
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