Muthukumar Pratyush, Cocom Emmanuel, Nagrecha Kabir, Comer Dawn, Burga Irene, Taub Jeremy, Calvert Chisato Fukuda, Holm Jeanne, Pourhomayoun Mohammad
Department of Computer Science, California State University Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA USA.
City of Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA USA.
Air Qual Atmos Health. 2022;15(7):1221-1234. doi: 10.1007/s11869-021-01126-3. Epub 2021 Nov 23.
Air pollution is one of the world's leading factors for early deaths. Every 5 s, someone around the world dies from the adverse health effects of air pollution. In order to mitigate the effects of air pollution, we must first understand it, find its patterns and correlations, and predict it in advance. Air pollution prediction requires highly complex predictive models to solve this spatiotemporal problem. We use advanced deep learning models including the Graph Convolutional Network (GCN) and Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory (ConvLSTM) to learn patterns of particulate matter 2.5 (PM 2.5) over spatial and temporal correlations. We model meteorological features with a time-series set of multidimensional weighted directed graphs and interpolate dense meteorological graphs using the GCN architecture. We also use remote-sensing satellite imagery of various atmospheric pollutant matters. We utilize government maintained ground-based PM2.5 sensor data along with remote sensing satellite imagery using a ConvLSTM to predict PM2.5 over the greater Los Angeles county area roughly 10 days in the future using 10 days of data from the past in 46-h increments. Our error results on the PM2.5 predictions over time and along each sensor location show significant improvement over existing research in the field utilizing spatiotemporal deep predictive algorithms.
空气污染是导致过早死亡的主要因素之一。世界上每隔5秒就有一人死于空气污染对健康的不利影响。为了减轻空气污染的影响,我们必须首先了解它,找出其模式和相关性,并提前进行预测。空气污染预测需要高度复杂的预测模型来解决这个时空问题。我们使用包括图卷积网络(GCN)和卷积长短期记忆网络(ConvLSTM)在内的先进深度学习模型来学习细颗粒物2.5(PM 2.5)在空间和时间上的相关模式。我们用一组多维加权有向图的时间序列对气象特征进行建模,并使用GCN架构对密集气象图进行插值。我们还使用各种大气污染物的遥感卫星图像。我们利用政府维护的地面PM2.5传感器数据以及遥感卫星图像,通过ConvLSTM,利用过去10天以46小时为增量的数据,预测大洛杉矶地区未来大约10天的PM2.5。我们在PM2.5预测上随时间以及沿每个传感器位置的误差结果表明,与该领域利用时空深度预测算法的现有研究相比有显著改进。