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跨领域转移认知能力以减少投资中的处置效应。

Transferring cognitive talent across domains to reduce the disposition effect in investment.

机构信息

Monash Business School, Monash University, Caulfield East, VIC, 3145, Australia.

BrainPark, The Turner Institute for Brain and Mental Health, School of Psychological Sciences and Monash Biomedical Imaging Facility, Monash University, Clayton, VIC, 3800, Australia.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2021 Nov 29;11(1):23068. doi: 10.1038/s41598-021-02596-2.

Abstract

We consider Theory of Mind (ToM), the ability to correctly predict the intentions of others. To an important degree, good ToM function requires abstraction from one's own particular circumstances. Here, we posit that such abstraction can be transferred successfully to other, non-social contexts. We consider the disposition effect, which is a pervasive cognitive bias whereby investors, including professionals, improperly take their personal trading history into account when deciding on investments. We design an intervention policy whereby we attempt to transfer good ToM function, subconsciously, to personal investment decisions. In a within-subject repeated-intervention laboratory experiment, we record how the disposition effect is reduced by a very significant 85%, but only for those with high scores on the social-cognitive dimension of ToM function. No such transfer is observed in subjects who score well only on the social-perceptual dimension of ToM function. Our findings open up a promising way to exploit cognitive talent in one domain in order to alleviate cognitive deficiencies elsewhere.

摘要

我们探讨了心理理论(Theory of Mind,ToM),即正确预测他人意图的能力。在很大程度上,良好的 ToM 功能需要从自身特定环境中进行抽象。在这里,我们假设这种抽象可以成功地转移到其他非社会情境中。我们考虑了处置效应(disposition effect),这是一种普遍存在的认知偏差,即投资者,包括专业人士,在做出投资决策时,不恰当地将个人交易历史纳入考虑。我们设计了一项干预政策,试图在潜意识中将良好的 ToM 功能转移到个人投资决策中。在一项基于个体的重复干预实验室实验中,我们记录了处置效应如何被显著降低了 85%,但这仅适用于在 ToM 功能的社会认知维度上得分较高的人。而在那些仅在 ToM 功能的社会知觉维度上得分较高的人中,没有观察到这种转移。我们的发现为利用一个领域的认知才能来缓解其他领域的认知缺陷开辟了一条有前途的途径。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f858/8630220/fa02c578a3b5/41598_2021_2596_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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