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使用 AIC 的推广来评估具有不等式约束的假设。

Evaluation of inequality constrained hypotheses using a generalization of the AIC.

机构信息

Department of Statistics, Sinop University.

Department of Methodology and Statistics, Utrecht University.

出版信息

Psychol Methods. 2021 Oct;26(5):599-621. doi: 10.1037/met0000406.

DOI:10.1037/met0000406
PMID:34855431
Abstract

In the social and behavioral sciences, it is often not interesting to evaluate the null hypothesis by means of a p-value. Researchers are often more interested in quantifying the evidence in the data (as opposed to using p-values) with respect to their own expectations represented by equality and/or inequality constrained hypotheses (as opposed to the null hypothesis). This article proposes an Akaike-type information criterion (AIC; Akaike, 1973, 1974) called the generalized order-restricted information criterion approximation (GORICA) that evaluates (in)equality constrained hypotheses under a very broad range of statistical models. The results of five simulation studies provide empirical evidence showing that the performance of the GORICA on selecting the best hypothesis out of a set of (in)equality constrained hypotheses is convincing. To illustrate the use of the GORICA, the expectations of researchers are investigated in a logistic regression, multilevel regression, and structural equation model. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2021 APA, all rights reserved).

摘要

在社会和行为科学中,通过 p 值来评估零假设通常并不有趣。研究人员通常更感兴趣的是用数据中的证据来量化(而不是使用 p 值),这些证据是针对他们自己的期望的,这些期望由平等和/或不平等约束假设(而不是零假设)来表示。本文提出了一种 Akaike 型信息准则(AIC;Akaike,1973 年,1974 年),称为广义有序约束信息准则逼近(GORICA),该准则在非常广泛的统计模型下评估平等和不平等约束假设。五项模拟研究的结果提供了经验证据,表明 GORICA 在从一组(平等和不平等)约束假设中选择最佳假设方面的性能令人信服。为了说明 GORICA 的使用,在逻辑回归、多层次回归和结构方程模型中研究了研究人员的期望。(PsycInfo 数据库记录(c)2021 APA,保留所有权利)。

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