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基于 PSO 的 LSTM 神经网络在门诊量预测中的应用。

Application of PSO-based LSTM Neural Network for Outpatient Volume Prediction.

机构信息

Nursing Department, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Air Force Military Medical University, Xi'an 710038, China.

出版信息

J Healthc Eng. 2021 Nov 26;2021:7246561. doi: 10.1155/2021/7246561. eCollection 2021.

Abstract

In order to study the construction method of long- and short-term memory neural network model, which is based on particle swarm optimization algorithm and its application in hospital outpatient management, we have selected historical data of outpatient volume of relevant departments in our hospital. Furthermore, we have designed and developed the outpatient volume prediction model, which is based on long- and short-term memory neural network. Additionally, we have used particle swarm optimization algorithm (PSO) to optimize various parameters of long- and short-term memory network and then utilized this optimized model to accurately predict the outpatient volume. Experimental observations, which are collected through the results of monthly outpatient volume prediction, show that Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of the particle swarm optimized LTMN model on the test set is reduced by 48.5% compared with the unoptimized model. The particle swarm optimization algorithm has efficiently optimized the prediction model, which makes the model better predict the trend of outpatient volume and thus provide decision support for medical staff's outpatient management.

摘要

为了研究基于粒子群优化算法的长短时记忆神经网络模型的构建方法及其在医院门诊管理中的应用,我们选择了我院相关科室门诊量的历史数据。在此基础上,我们设计并开发了基于长短时记忆神经网络的门诊量预测模型。此外,我们还使用粒子群优化算法(PSO)对长短时记忆网络的各种参数进行了优化,然后利用这个优化后的模型来准确地预测门诊量。通过对每月门诊量预测结果的实验观察,结果表明,在测试集上,经过粒子群优化的 LTMN 模型的均方根误差(RMSE)比未优化的模型降低了 48.5%。粒子群优化算法有效地优化了预测模型,使模型能够更好地预测门诊量的趋势,从而为医务人员的门诊管理提供决策支持。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c76f/8641991/0e9996f1fc7e/JHE2021-7246561.001.jpg

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