Department of Behavioural Science and Health, University College London, 1-19 Torrington Place, London, UK.
Population Health Sciences Institute, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
BMC Public Health. 2021 Dec 11;21(1):2254. doi: 10.1186/s12889-021-12304-4.
Cigarette smoking takes place within a cultural and social context. Political views and practices are an important part of that context. To gain a better understanding of smoking, it may be helpful to understand its association with voting patterns as an expression of the political views and practices of the population who smoke. This study aimed to assess the association between cigarette smoking and voting intentions and to examine how far any association can be explained by sociodemographic factors and alcohol use.
Pooled monthly representative repeat cross-sectional household surveys of adults (16+) in England (N = 55,482) between 2015 and 2020 were used to assess the association between cigarette smoking status and voting intentions, and whether this was accounted for by age, occupational grade, gender, region and alcohol use. Voting intention was measured by asking 'How would you vote if there were a General Election tomorrow?' Respondents chose from a list of the major English political parties or indicated their intention not to vote.
In adjusted multinomial regression, compared with intending to vote Conservative (majority party of government during the period), being undecided (aOR1.22 [1.13-1.33] <0.001), intending to vote Labour (aOR1.27 [1.16-1.36] <0.001), to vote "Other" (aOR1.54 [1.37-1.72] <0.001), or not to vote (aOR1.93 [1.77-2.11] <0.001) was associated with higher odds of current relative to never smoking rates. Intending to vote for the Liberal Democrats was associated with a significant lower odds of current smoking prevalence (aOR0.80 [0.70-0.91] <0.001) compared with intending to vote Conservative.
Controlling for a range of other factors, current as compared with never-smokers appear more likely to intend not to vote, to be undecided, to vote for Labour or a non-mainstream party, and less likely to vote for the Liberal Democrats, compared with the Conservative party.
吸烟发生在文化和社会背景下。政治观点和实践是该背景的重要组成部分。为了更好地了解吸烟，了解其与投票模式的关系，即吸烟人群的政治观点和实践的表达，可能会有所帮助。本研究旨在评估吸烟与投票意向之间的关联，并研究这种关联在多大程度上可以用社会人口因素和酒精使用来解释。
本研究使用了 2015 年至 2020 年间在英格兰进行的每月代表性重复横断面家庭调查（共 55482 名成年人），以评估吸烟状况与投票意向之间的关联，以及这种关联是否可以用年龄、职业等级、性别、地区和酒精使用来解释。投票意向是通过询问“如果明天举行大选，你会投票吗？”来衡量的。受访者从英国主要政党的名单中选择，或表示他们不打算投票。
在调整后的多项二项式回归中，与打算投票给保守党（在此期间为政府的多数党）相比，未决定（优势比 1.22[1.13-1.33]，<0.001）、打算投票给工党（优势比 1.27[1.16-1.36]，<0.001）、投票给“其他”（优势比 1.54[1.37-1.72]，<0.001）或不投票（优势比 1.93[1.77-2.11]，<0.001）与更高的当前相对从不吸烟率相关。与打算投票给保守党相比，打算投票给自由民主党与当前吸烟率显著降低相关（优势比 0.80[0.70-0.91]，<0.001）。
在控制了一系列其他因素后，与从不吸烟者相比，当前吸烟者更有可能选择不投票、未决定、投票给工党或非主流政党，而不太可能投票给保守党。
