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前苏联国家的吸烟状况、投票行为及意向。

Smoking status and voting behaviour and intentions in countries of the former Soviet Union.

作者信息

Stickley Andrew, Inoue Yosuke, Kondo Naoki, Leinsalu Mall, McKee Martin

机构信息

Department of Social Epidemiology, Graduate School of Medicine and School of Public Health, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan.

Stockholm Centre for Health and Social Change (SCOHOST), Sodertorn University, 141 89, Huddinge, Sweden.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2025 Apr 24;15(1):14308. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-95632-4.

Abstract

Smokers experience multiple disadvantages throughout their lives, yet there is another disadvantage, political, that is less widely recognised. Smokers are less likely to vote but only so far in studies conducted in Western democratic regimes. This cross-sectional study aimed to examine the association between current smoking and voting behaviour and intentions in nine countries of the former Soviet Union (FSU). Data were analysed from 18,000 individuals aged ≥ 18 in Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russia and Ukraine, collected in the Health in Times of Transition (HITT) survey in 2010/11. Information was obtained on smoking status and voting behaviour and intentions. In a fully adjusted logistic regression analysis, current smoking was associated with significantly higher odds of 'never voting' (not having voted in the past or intending to vote in future) in the pooled sample (OR: 1.29, 95% CI 1.13-1.47). In stratified analyses, smoking was associated with never voting in women but not men and in young but not middle-aged or older adults. The smoking-never voting association was observed in flawed democracies (OR: 1.57, 95% CI 1.07-2.32) and hybrid regimes (OR: 1.31, 95% CI 1.08-1.59) but not in authoritarian regimes (OR: 1.02, 95% CI 0.81-1.29). Smoking is associated with never voting in these FSU countries although not in all population subgroups or types of political regime. A necessary task for future research will be determining the factors associated with not voting among smokers in these countries.

摘要

吸烟者在其一生中会经历诸多不利之处,然而还有一个较少被广泛认识到的不利因素,即政治方面的。吸烟者投票的可能性较小,但这只是在西方民主政体中所进行的研究里才是如此。这项横断面研究旨在考察前苏联(FSU)九个国家中当前吸烟状况与投票行为及意愿之间的关联。对2010/11年“转型期健康”(HITT)调查收集的亚美尼亚、阿塞拜疆、白俄罗斯、格鲁吉亚、哈萨克斯坦、吉尔吉斯斯坦、摩尔多瓦、俄罗斯和乌克兰18000名年龄≥18岁的个体的数据进行了分析。获取了吸烟状况、投票行为及意愿方面的信息。在一项完全调整的逻辑回归分析中,在汇总样本中,当前吸烟与“从不投票”(过去未投票且未来也不打算投票)的几率显著更高相关(比值比:1.29,95%置信区间1.13 - 1.47)。在分层分析中,吸烟与女性从不投票相关,但与男性无关;与年轻人从不投票相关,但与中年或老年人无关。在有缺陷的民主国家(比值比:1.57,95%置信区间1.07 - 2.32)和混合政体中(比值比:1.31,95%置信区间1.08 - 1.59)观察到吸烟与从不投票的关联,但在独裁政体中未观察到(比值比:1.02,95%置信区间0.81 - 1.29)。在这些前苏联国家中,吸烟与从不投票相关,尽管并非在所有人口亚组或政治政体类型中都是如此。未来研究的一项必要任务将是确定这些国家中吸烟者不投票所相关的因素。

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