School of Economics, Shandong University of Technology, Zibo 255012, China.
CICERO Center for international Climate Research, 0318 Oslo, Norway.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2021 Dec 10;18(24):13049. doi: 10.3390/ijerph182413049.
Facing the increasingly severe friction among the domains of population, resources, economy and environment (PREE) in a system, theoretical guidance for the sustainable development of a PREE system can be obtained by exploring the coordinated development of a PREE system during its temporal-spatial evolution process. Based on the PREE data of 31 provinces in China from 2010 to 2019, this study uses a spatial measurement method to analyze the temporal and spatial evolution characteristics of the PREE systems of China's provinces. The results show that the overall coordination level of China's provincial PREE systems fluctuated but improved from moderate imbalance to moderate coordination. However, the differences in the regional coordination level first decreased and then increased. The distribution characteristics of the system coordination level changed from "high in the east and low in the west" to "high in the west and low in the east", resulting in the "inversion" phenomenon of the system coordination level. The spatial correlation of the coordination level of the PREE system among provinces and cities gradually increased. The coordination level of the PREE system in the eastern, central and western regions was noticeably different, accompanied by different degrees of polarization and showing different dynamic evolution trends. In the analysis of influencing factors, it was found that seven factors, such as per capita GDP, the proportion of environmental pollution control investment to GDP and per capita energy production, promoted the coordinated development of China's PREE system to varying degrees. The coordinated and stable development of China's PREE system should be adjusted and optimized from the perspectives of different regions, scales and systems.
面对系统中人口、资源、经济与环境(PREE)各领域间日益严峻的矛盾,通过探究 PREE 系统时空演化过程中的协调发展,可以为 PREE 系统的可持续发展提供理论指导。基于中国 2010-2019 年 31 个省份的 PREE 数据,利用空间测度方法分析了中国各省份 PREE 系统的时空演化特征。结果表明,中国省级 PREE 系统的综合协调水平波动上升,由中度非均衡逐渐向中度协调过渡。但区域协调水平的差异先减小后增大,系统协调水平的分布特征由“东高西低”变为“西高东低”,出现系统协调水平的“反转”现象。省际间 PREE 系统协调水平的空间相关性逐渐增强。东部、中部和西部地区 PREE 系统的协调水平差异显著,存在不同程度的极化现象,且表现出不同的动态演化趋势。在影响因素分析中发现,人均 GDP、环境污染治理投资占 GDP 比重、人均能源生产量等 7 个因素均不同程度地促进了中国 PREE 系统的协调发展。中国 PREE 系统的协调稳定发展需要从不同区域、不同尺度和不同系统的角度进行调整和优化。