Utilizing (serial) coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) to predict plaque progression and major adverse cardiac events (MACE): results, merits and challenges.

OBJECTIVES

To present an overview of studies using serial coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) as a tool for finding both quantitative (changes) and qualitative plaque characteristics as well as epicardial adipose tissue (EAT) volume changes as predictors of plaque progression and/or major adverse cardiac events (MACE) and outline the challenges and advantages of using a serial non-invasive imaging approach for assessing cardiovascular prognosis.

METHODS

A literature search was performed in PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, Cochrane Library and Emcare. All observational cohort studies were assessed for quality using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS). The NOS score was then converted into Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ) standards: good, fair and poor.

RESULTS

A total of 36 articles were analyzed for this review, 3 of which were meta-analyses and one was a technical paper. Quantitative baseline plaque features seem to be more predictive of MACE and/or plaque progression as compared to qualitative plaque features.

CONCLUSIONS

A critical review of the literature focusing on studies utilizing serial CCTA revealed that mainly quantitative baseline plaque features and quantitative plaque changes are predictive of MACE and/or plaque progression contrary to qualitative plaque features. Significant questions regarding the clinical implications of these specific quantitative and qualitative plaque features as well as the challenges of using serial CCTA have yet to be resolved in studies using this imaging technique.

KEY POINTS

• Use of (serial) CCTA can identify plaque characteristics and plaque changes as well as changes in EAT volume that are predictive of plaque progression and/or major adverse events (MACE) at follow-up. • Studies utilizing serial CCTA revealed that mainly quantitative baseline plaque features and quantitative plaque changes are predictive of MACE and/or plaque progression contrary to qualitative plaque features. • Ultimately, serial CCTA is a promising technique for the evaluation of cardiovascular prognosis, yet technical details remain to be refined.