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工业化与碳排放的关系:来自东盟+3 经济体的证据。

On the nexus between industrialization and carbon emissions: evidence from ASEAN + 3 economies.

机构信息

Faculty of Commercial Studies, University of Gezira, Al Hilaliya, Sudan.

School of Economics and Management, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2022 May;29(21):31476-31485. doi: 10.1007/s11356-022-18560-0. Epub 2022 Jan 10.

Abstract

This paper examines the impact of economic growth, energy consumption, financial development, and industrialization on environmental degradation in 8 selected ASEAN + 3 countries covering the period 1994-2018. The autoregressive distributed lag model pooled mean group was applied to estimate the long run and short relationship. The fully modified ordinary least squares, dynamic least squares, and seemingly unrelated regression were applied to check the robustness of pooled mean group. Furthermore, panel Dumitrescu and Hurlin causality test was utilized to explore the causal relationships among the variables. The results of cointegration tests confirm the presence of the long run cointegration relationship. The empirical findings, in the long run, demonstrate that the elasticity of economic growth is negatively interrelated to environmental degradation. The elasticities of energy consumption and financial development showed a positive relationship with environmental degradation. The elasticity of industrialization has a negative connection with environmental degradation. The robustness results show some conflict with the autoregressive distributed lag model pooled mean group results. Dumitrescu Hurlin panel causality demonstrates a bidirectional causality between economic growth and environmental degradation, energy consumption and environmental degradation, and economic growth and energy consumption. These results confirm that energy consumption and financial development harm environmental quality in selected countries through exudating more CO emissions in space, while economic growth and industrialization reduce environmental degradation by mitigating exudate CO emissions.

摘要

本文考察了 1994-2018 年间 8 个选定的东盟+3 国家的经济增长、能源消耗、金融发展和工业化对环境恶化的影响。应用自回归分布滞后模型进行了长期和短期关系的估计。应用全修正普通最小二乘法、动态最小二乘法和似乎不相关回归来检验均值组的稳健性。此外,面板 Dumitrescu 和 Hurlin 因果检验用于探讨变量之间的因果关系。协整检验的结果证实了长期协整关系的存在。长期来看,实证结果表明经济增长的弹性与环境恶化呈负相关。能源消耗和金融发展的弹性与环境恶化呈正相关。工业化的弹性与环境恶化呈负相关。稳健性结果与自回归分布滞后模型均值组结果存在一些冲突。Dumitrescu Hurlin 面板因果关系表明经济增长与环境恶化、能源消耗与环境恶化以及经济增长与能源消耗之间存在双向因果关系。这些结果证实,能源消耗和金融发展通过在空间中排放更多的 CO2 来损害选定国家的环境质量,而经济增长和工业化通过减轻排放的 CO2 来减少环境恶化。

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