Brotherhood Luiz, Santos Cezar
Universitat de Barcelona, FGV EPGE & BEAT, Spain.
Banco de Portugal, FGV EPGE & CEPR, Portugal.
J Econ Dyn Control. 2022 Jul;140:104303. doi: 10.1016/j.jedc.2022.104303. Epub 2022 Jan 12.
This note discusses age-specific vaccination programs designed to curb the Covid-19 pandemic. We first provide some comments on the analysis by Glover et al. (2021b) and point directions where further research can be carried out. Additionally, we adapt the framework from Brotherhood et al. (2021) to assess the effects of different vaccination schemes when more infectious variants can emerge when more infections take place. We find that policy prescriptions crucially depend on taking individual behavioral responses into account and on whether variants can appear.
本笔记讨论了旨在遏制新冠疫情的特定年龄组疫苗接种计划。我们首先对格洛弗等人(2021年b)的分析发表一些评论,并指出可以开展进一步研究的方向。此外,我们采用了兄弟会等人(2021年)的框架,以评估在感染发生较多时可能出现更具传染性的变种的情况下,不同疫苗接种方案的效果。我们发现,政策建议在很大程度上取决于是否考虑到个体行为反应以及变种是否会出现。