Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA.
Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA
Heart. 2022 Aug 11;108(17):1351-1360. doi: 10.1136/heartjnl-2021-320131.
Studies of the epidemiology of heart failure in the general population can inform assessments of disease burden, research, public health policy and health system care delivery. We performed a systematic review of prevalence, incidence and survival for all available population-representative studies to inform the Global Burden of Disease 2020. We examined population-based studies published between 1990 and 2020 using structured review methods and database search strings. Studies were sought in which heart failure was defined by clinical diagnosis using structured criteria such as the Framingham or European Society of Cardiology criteria, with studies using alternate case definitions identified for comparison. Study results were extracted with descriptive characteristics including age range, location and case definition. Search strings identified 42 360 studies over a 30-year period, of which 790 were selected for full-text review and 125 met criteria for inclusion. 45 sources reported estimates of prevalence, 41 of incidence and 58 of mortality. Prevalence ranged from 0.2%, in a Hong Kong study of hospitalised heart failure patients in 1997, to 17.7%, in a US study of Medicare beneficiaries aged 65+ from 2002 to 2013. Collapsed estimates of incidence ranged from 0.1%, in the EPidémiologie de l'Insuffisance Cardiaque Avancée en Lorraine (EPICAL) study of acute heart failure in France among those aged 20-80 years in 1994, to 4.3%, in a US study of Medicare beneficiaries 65+ from 1994 to 2003. One-year heart failure case fatality ranged from 4% to 45% with an average of 33% overall and 24% for studies across all adult ages. Diagnostic criteria, case ascertainment strategy and demographic breakdown varied widely between studies. Prevalence, incidence and survival for heart failure varied widely across countries and studies, reflecting a range of study design. Heart failure remains a high prevalence disease among older adults with a high risk of death at 1 year.
心力衰竭的流行病学研究可以为疾病负担评估、研究、公共卫生政策和卫生系统医疗服务提供信息。我们对所有具有代表性的人群研究进行了系统回顾,以提供 2020 年全球疾病负担的数据。我们使用结构化的审查方法和数据库搜索字符串,对 1990 年至 2020 年期间发表的基于人群的研究进行了检查。研究中心力衰竭的定义是通过使用临床诊断标准,如弗雷明汉或欧洲心脏病学会标准,同时还确定了使用替代病例定义的研究进行比较。研究结果采用描述性特征提取,包括年龄范围、地点和病例定义。搜索字符串在 30 年期间确定了 42360 项研究,其中 790 项被选为全文审查,125 项符合纳入标准。45 个来源报告了患病率估计值,41 个报告了发病率估计值,58 个报告了死亡率估计值。患病率从 1997 年香港一项住院心力衰竭患者的研究中的 0.2%到 2002 年至 2013 年美国一项 65 岁以上医疗保险受益人的研究中的 17.7%不等。发病率的合并估计值从 1994 年法国一项急性心力衰竭的 EPidémiologie de l'Insuffisance Cardiaque Avancée en Lorraine(EPICAL)研究中 20-80 岁人群中的 0.1%到 1994 年至 2003 年美国一项医疗保险受益人的研究中的 4.3%不等。1 年心力衰竭病死率为 4%至 45%,平均为 33%,所有年龄组的研究平均为 24%。研究之间的诊断标准、病例确定策略和人口结构差异很大。心力衰竭的患病率、发病率和生存率在各国和研究中差异很大,反映了一系列研究设计。心力衰竭仍然是老年人的高患病率疾病,1 年内死亡风险很高。
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