Kemp H G, Kronmal R A, Vlietstra R E, Frye R L
J Am Coll Cardiol. 1986 Mar;7(3):479-83. doi: 10.1016/s0735-1097(86)80456-9.
The effect on 7 year survival of having a normal or near normal coronary arteriogram was examined using data from the CASS registry of 21,487 consecutive coronary arteriograms taken in 15 clinical sites. Of these, 4,051 arteriograms were normal or near normal, and the patients had normal left ventricular function as judged by absence of a history of congestive heart failure, no reported segmental wall motion abnormality and an ejection fraction of at least 50%; 3,136 arteriograms were entirely normal and the remaining 915 revealed mild disease with less than 50% stenosis in one or more segments. The 7 year survival rate was 96% for the patients with a normal arteriogram and 92% for those whose study revealed mild disease (p less than 0.0001). Nine risk variables recorded at entry were analyzed for predictive value for survival: age, sex, height, weight, history of smoking, presence of absence of mild disease, electrocardiographic response to exercise, family history of coronary heart disease and a history of hypertension. Of these, age, smoking history, presence or absence of disease and a history of hypertension had predictive value.
利用来自CASS注册中心的数据,对15个临床地点连续进行的21487例冠状动脉造影进行分析,以研究冠状动脉造影正常或接近正常对7年生存率的影响。其中,4051例冠状动脉造影正常或接近正常,根据无充血性心力衰竭病史、无节段性室壁运动异常报告且射血分数至少为50%判断,这些患者左心室功能正常;3136例冠状动脉造影完全正常,其余915例显示一个或多个节段存在轻度病变,狭窄程度小于50%。冠状动脉造影正常的患者7年生存率为96%,造影显示轻度病变的患者为92%(p<0.0001)。分析了入组时记录的9个风险变量对生存的预测价值:年龄、性别、身高、体重、吸烟史、是否存在轻度病变、运动心电图反应、冠心病家族史和高血压病史。其中,年龄、吸烟史、是否存在病变和高血压病史具有预测价值。