MAKISOLU G.K.
Proc Jpn Acad Ser B Phys Biol Sci. 2022;98(2):87-92. doi: 10.2183/pjab.98.006.
A year and a half has passed since the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic. Mathematical models to predict infection are expected and many studies have been conducted. In this study, a new interpretation was created that could reproduce the daily positive cases in Tokyo using only a simple SIR model. In addition, the data on the ratio of transfer to delta variants could also be simulated. It is anticipated that this interpretation will be a basis for the development of forecasting methods.
自 COVID-19 大流行爆发以来已经过去了一年半。人们期望建立预测感染的数学模型，并且已经进行了许多研究。在这项研究中，创建了一种新的解释，可以仅使用简单的 SIR 模型来再现东京的每日阳性病例。此外，还可以模拟转移到 delta 变体的比例数据。预计这种解释将成为开发预测方法的基础。
