State Key Laboratory of Structural Analysis for Industrial Equipment, School of Automotive Engineering, Dalian University of Technology, Dalian, China.
CIECC Overseas Consulting Co., Ltd., Beijing, China.
Front Public Health. 2022 Jan 25;9:804298. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2021.804298. eCollection 2021.
As urban traffic pollution continues to increase, there is an urgent need to build traffic emission monitoring and forecasting system for the urban traffic construction. The traffic emission monitoring and forecasting system's core is the prediction of traffic emission's evolution. And the traffic flow prediction on the urban road network contributes greatly to the prediction of traffic emission's evolution. Due to the complex non-Euclidean topological structure of traffic networks and dynamic heterogeneous spatial-temporal correlations of traffic conditions, it is difficult to obtain satisfactory prediction results with less computation cost. To figure these issues out, a novel deep learning traffic flow forecasting framework is proposed in this paper, termed as Ensemble Attention based Graph Time Convolutional Networks (EAGTCN). More specifically, each component of our model contains two major blocks: (1) the global spatial patterns are captured by the spatial blocks which are fused by the Graph Convolution Network (GCN) and spatial ensemble attention layer; (2) the temporal patterns are captured by the temporal blocks which are composed by the Time Convolution Net (TCN) and temporal ensemble attention layers. Experiments on two real-world datasets demonstrate that our model obtains more accurate prediction results than the state-of-the-art baselines at less computation expense especially in the long-term prediction situation.
随着城市交通污染的不断增加,迫切需要为城市交通建设构建交通排放监测和预测系统。交通排放监测和预测系统的核心是交通排放演变的预测。而城市道路网络上的交通流预测对交通排放演变的预测有很大的帮助。由于交通网络复杂的非欧几里得拓扑结构和交通状况动态异质的时空相关性,很难以较低的计算成本获得令人满意的预测结果。为了解决这些问题,本文提出了一种新的基于集成注意力的图时间卷积网络(EAGTCN)的深度学习交通流预测框架。更具体地说,我们模型的每个组件都包含两个主要部分:(1)通过图卷积网络(GCN)和空间集成注意力层融合来捕获全局空间模式;(2)通过时间卷积网络(TCN)和时间集成注意力层来捕获时间模式。在两个真实数据集上的实验表明,与最先进的基线相比,我们的模型在计算成本较低的情况下,尤其是在长期预测情况下,能够获得更准确的预测结果。