Lee Geon Ju, Jung Jason J
Department of Computer Engineering, Chung-Ang University, Seoul, Korea.
PeerJ Comput Sci. 2022 Jan 20;8:e853. doi: 10.7717/peerj-cs.853. eCollection 2022.
In modern sports, strategy and tactics are important in determining the game outcome. However, many coaches still base their game tactics on experience and intuition. The aim of this study is to predict tactics such as formations, game styles, and game outcome based on soccer dataset. In this paper, we propose to use Deep Neural Networks (DNN) based on Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP) and feature engineering to predict the soccer tactics of teams. Previous works adopt simple machine learning techniques, such as Support Vector Machine (SVM) and decision tree, to analyze soccer dataset. However, these often have limitations in predicting tactics using soccer dataset. In this study, we use feature selection, clustering techniques for the segmented positions and Multi-Output model for Soccer (MOS) based on DNN, wide inputs and residual connections. Feature selection selects important features among features of soccer player dataset. Each position is segmented by applying clustering to the selected features. The segmented positions and game appearance dataset are used as training dataset for the proposed model. Our model predicts the core of soccer tactics: formation, game style and game outcome. And, we use wide inputs and embedding layers to learn sparse, specific rules of soccer dataset, and use residual connections to learn additional information. MLP layers help the model to generalize features of soccer dataset. Experimental results demonstrate the superiority of the proposed model, which obtain significant improvements comparing to baseline models.
在现代体育中,战略和战术对于决定比赛结果至关重要。然而,许多教练仍然将他们的比赛战术基于经验和直觉。本研究的目的是基于足球数据集预测诸如阵型、比赛风格和比赛结果等战术。在本文中,我们提议使用基于多层感知器(MLP)的深度神经网络(DNN)和特征工程来预测球队的足球战术。先前的工作采用简单的机器学习技术,如支持向量机(SVM)和决策树,来分析足球数据集。然而,这些方法在使用足球数据集预测战术时往往存在局限性。在本研究中,我们使用特征选择、针对分段位置的聚类技术以及基于DNN、宽输入和残差连接的足球多输出模型(MOS)。特征选择在足球运动员数据集的特征中选择重要特征。通过对所选特征应用聚类来对每个位置进行分段。分段后的位置和比赛外观数据集用作所提出模型的训练数据集。我们的模型预测足球战术的核心:阵型、比赛风格和比赛结果。并且,我们使用宽输入和嵌入层来学习足球数据集的稀疏、特定规则,并使用残差连接来学习额外信息。MLP层帮助模型概括足球数据集的特征。实验结果证明了所提出模型的优越性,与基线模型相比有显著改进。