London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom; MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, United Kingdom.
Vaccine. 2022 Jun 9;40(26):3531-3535. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2022.01.044. Epub 2022 Jan 26.
Whilst COVID-19 vaccination strategies continue to receive considerable emphasis worldwide, the extent to which routine immunisation (RI) has been impacted during the first year of the pandemic remains unclear. Understanding the existence, extent, and variations in RI disruptions globally may help inform policy and resource prioritisation as the pandemic continues. We modelled historical, country-specific RI trends using publicly available vaccination coverage data for diphtheria, tetanus and pertussis-containing vaccine first-dose (DTP1) and third-dose (DTP3) from 2000 to 2019. We report a 2·9% (95 %: [2·2%; 3·6%]) global decline in DTP3 coverage from an expected 89·2% to a reported 86·3%; and a 2·2% decline in DTP1 coverage (95 %: [1·6%; 2·8%]). These declines translate to levels of coverage last observed in 2005, thus suggesting a potential 15-years setback in RI improvements. Further research is required to understand which factors - e.g., health seeking behaviours or non-pharmaceutical interventions - linked to the COVID-19 crisis impacted vaccination coverage.
虽然 COVID-19 疫苗接种策略在全球范围内继续受到高度关注,但大流行第一年常规免疫(RI)受到的影响程度仍不清楚。了解全球范围内 RI 中断的存在、程度和变化,可能有助于为政策和资源优先排序提供信息,因为大流行仍在继续。我们使用 2000 年至 2019 年公开提供的白喉、破伤风和无细胞百日咳疫苗(DTP1)和第三剂(DTP3)疫苗接种覆盖率数据,对各国特定的历史 RI 趋势进行建模。我们报告全球 DTP3 覆盖率下降了 2.9%(95%置信区间:[2.2%;3.6%]),预计覆盖率为 89.2%,报告覆盖率为 86.3%;DTP1 覆盖率下降了 2.2%(95%置信区间:[1.6%;2.8%])。这些下降相当于 2005 年观察到的覆盖率水平,这表明 RI 改善可能倒退了 15 年。需要进一步研究了解与 COVID-19 危机相关的哪些因素(例如,寻求医疗保健行为或非药物干预措施)影响了疫苗接种覆盖率。