UCL GOS Institute of Child Health, 30 Guilford Street, London WC1N 1EH, United Kingdom.
UCL Institute of Health Informatics, 222 Euston Road, London NW1 2DA, United Kingdom.
Child Abuse Negl. 2022 May;127:105582. doi: 10.1016/j.chiabu.2022.105582. Epub 2022 Mar 4.
Pushing out (off-rolling) occurs where pupils are illegally excluded from school. Those receiving children's social care (CSC) services (children in need (CiN), on child protection plans (CPPs) or looked after (CLA)) are thought to be at increased risk, but limited evidence inhibits understanding of this phenomenon. The extent of pushing out can be inferred from non-enrolment in administrative data.
To estimate proportions of children not enrolled across secondary school (aged 11-16, up to year 11) and to explore the association between CSC history and non-enrolment in year 10/11.
1 M pupils in year 7 (aged 11/12) in English state schools, 2011/12 and 2012/13.
We estimated the proportion of children not enrolled across years 8 to 11, disaggregated by CSC history. We assessed with regression modelling the association between CSC history and non-enrolment in years 10/11.
Of children without CSC history, 3.8% had ≥1 year not enrolled by year 11. This was higher in those with a history CiN (8.1%), CPP (9.4%) or CLA (10.4%) status. The odds of non-enrolment in years 10/11 were higher among those with CLA history vs non-exposed peers (OR 4.76, 95% CI 4.49-5.05) as well as in those with CPP history (3.60, 3.39-3.81) and CiN history (2.53, 2.49-2.58). History of special educational needs further increased non-enrolment odds, including after confounder adjustment.
Findings imply that children with CSC history are more likely to be pushed out from school than children without, especially those with special educational needs.
推搡（off-rolling）是指学生被非法开除出学校。那些接受儿童社会关怀（CSC）服务（有需要的儿童（CiN）、有儿童保护计划（CPP）或受照顾的儿童（CLA））的人被认为面临更高的风险，但有限的证据阻碍了对这一现象的理解。通过行政数据的未注册情况可以推断出推搡的程度。
估计中学（11-16 岁，至 11 年级）各年级未注册学生的比例，并探讨 CSC 历史与 10/11 年级未注册的关系。
2011/12 年和 2012/13 年，英格兰公立学校 7 年级（11/12 岁）的>100 万名学生。
我们估计了在 8 至 11 年级期间未注册的学生比例，并按 CSC 历史进行了细分。我们用回归模型评估了 CSC 历史与 10/11 年级未注册的关系。
没有 CSC 历史的学生中，有 3.8%的人在 11 年级前有≥1 年未注册。在有 CiN（8.1%）、CPP（9.4%）或 CLA（10.4%）病史的学生中，这一比例更高。与无暴露同伴相比，有 CLA 病史的学生（OR 4.76，95%CI 4.49-5.05）和有 CPP 病史的学生（3.60，3.39-3.81）以及有 CiN 病史的学生（2.53，2.49-2.58）的 10/11 年级未注册的可能性更高。特殊教育需求史也增加了未注册的可能性，包括在混杂因素调整后。
研究结果表明，与没有 CSC 病史的学生相比，有 CSC 病史的学生更有可能被学校开除，尤其是那些有特殊教育需求的学生。
