General Directorate of Meteorology, B.P. 8106, Casablanca P.O. Box 5696, Morocco.
Laboratory of Chemistry-Biochemistry, Environment, Nutrition and Health, Faculty of Medicine and Pharmacy, Hassan II University, Ain Chock, Casablanca P.O. Box 5696, Morocco.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2022 Feb 27;19(5):2770. doi: 10.3390/ijerph19052770.
More recurrent heat waves and extreme ozone (O) episodes are likely to occur during the next decades and a key question is about the concurrence of those hazards, the atmospheric patterns behind their appearance, and their joint effect on human health. In this work, we use surface maximum temperature and O observations during extended summers in two cities from Morocco: Casablanca and Marrakech, between 2010 and 2019. We assess the connection between these data and climate indices (North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), Mediterranean Oscillation (MO), and Saharan Oscillation (SaO)). We then identify concurrent heat waves and O episodes, the weather type behind this concurrence, and the combined health risks. Our findings show that the concurrence of heat waves and O episodes depends both on the specific city and the large-scale atmospheric circulation. The likely identified synoptic pattern is when the country is under the combined influence of an anticyclonic area in the north and the Saharan trough extending the depression centered in the south. This pattern generates a warm flow and may foster photochemical pollution. Our study is the first step toward the establishment of an alert system. It will help to provide recommendations for coping with concurrent heat waves and air pollution episodes.
在未来几十年,更频繁的热浪和极端臭氧(O3)事件很可能发生,一个关键问题是这些危害的同时出现、出现背后的大气模式以及它们对人类健康的共同影响。在这项工作中,我们使用了摩洛哥两个城市(卡萨布兰卡和马拉喀什) 2010 年至 2019 年期间夏季延长期间的地面最高温度和 O3 观测数据。我们评估了这些数据与气候指数(北大西洋涛动(NAO)、地中海涛动(MO)和撒哈拉涛动(SaO))之间的联系。然后,我们确定了同时发生的热浪和 O3 事件、这种同时发生背后的天气类型以及联合健康风险。我们的研究结果表明,热浪和 O3 事件的同时发生既取决于特定城市,也取决于大尺度大气环流。可能确定的天气模式是,当该国同时受到北部反气旋区和南部延伸的撒哈拉槽的影响时,这种天气模式会产生暖气流,并可能助长光化学污染。我们的研究是建立警报系统的第一步。它将有助于提供应对同时发生的热浪和空气污染事件的建议。