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中国环境规制下生猪规模化养殖的生态效率:基于最优超效率 SBM-Malmquist-Tobit 模型的研究。

Ecological efficiency of hog scale production under environmental regulation in China: based on an optimal super efficiency SBM-Malmquist-Tobit model.

机构信息

College of Economics and Management, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing, 210095, China.

College of Economics & Management, South China Agricultural University, Guangzhou, 510642, China.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2022 Jul;29(35):53088-53106. doi: 10.1007/s11356-021-16712-2. Epub 2022 Mar 12.

DOI:10.1007/s11356-021-16712-2
PMID:35279751
Abstract

China's hog production is facing the dual pressures of the market and environment. A systematic analysis of the ecological efficiency (eco-efficiency) of hog cultivation is of great significance for the development of sustainability and distribution optimization in the industry. This paper investigates the eco-efficiency of hog production and the determinants of eco-efficiency in China using panel data (2004-2018). An optimal super efficiency slacks-based measure (SBM)-Malmquist-Tobit model is adopted for hog production analysis, and the empirical results show a great variation in eco-efficiency across provinces, ranging from 0.557 to 1.19 with a mean value of 0.937 in 2018. The predominant production area of hogs is found being transferred from north to south, with small- and medium-scale predominant production areas shifted from East China to Southwest China, and large-scale predominant production areas shifted from North China to South Central China. Another finding is that eco-efficiency increased by the improvement of technical efficiency. In addition, the Tobit regression results show that rural economic development, the government's investment in environmental control, the market advantage index, and transportation conditions had positive effects on the eco-efficiency; meanwhile, the forbidden policy for livestock cultivation in certain areas, the structure of the hog breeding industry, the density of slaughtered fattened hogs, and the prices of hogs had negative effects on the eco-efficiency.

摘要

中国的生猪生产面临着市场和环境的双重压力。系统分析生猪养殖的生态效率(生态效率)对行业的可持续发展和分配优化具有重要意义。本文利用面板数据(2004-2018 年),研究了中国生猪生产的生态效率及其决定因素。采用最优超效率基于松弛的衡量(SBM)-Malmquist-Tobit 模型进行生猪生产分析,实证结果表明,2018 年各省的生态效率差异很大,从 0.557 到 1.19 不等,平均值为 0.937。发现生猪的主要生产区域从北方转移到了南方,中小规模的主要生产区域从华东转移到了西南,大规模的主要生产区域从华北转移到了华中。另一个发现是,生态效率通过技术效率的提高而提高。此外,Tobit 回归结果表明,农村经济发展、政府对环境治理的投资、市场优势指数和交通条件对生态效率有正向影响;同时,某些地区禁止养殖牲畜的政策、生猪养殖产业结构、出栏肥猪密度和生猪价格对生态效率有负向影响。

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