College of Economics and Management, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing, 211106, China.
Research Center for Soft Energy Science, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing, 211106, China.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2022 Aug;29(36):54718-54732. doi: 10.1007/s11356-022-19709-7. Epub 2022 Mar 19.
Whether semi-urbanization can effectively help reduce carbon emissions has become increasingly attractive to scholars and policymakers. To the knowledge of the authors, there are no empirical studies that were conducted to explore the impact of semi-urbanization on carbon emissions from a spatial perspective. By employing panel data for the years between 2000 and 2014 of 30 Chinese provinces, this paper examines the relationship between semi-urbanization and carbon emissions by using a spatial regression method. Also, the spatial transmission mechanisms between semi-urbanization and carbon emissions are analyzed. Empirical results indicate a positive spatial spillover effect on carbon emissions across various regions. Simultaneously, we find that semi-urbanization not only facilitates emission reduction in a particular region, but also significantly reduces the carbon emissions in surrounding regions, ultimately implying a significant and negative total effect. Moreover, semi-urbanization has decreased carbon emissions, that is, for every 1% increase in semi-urbanization, the carbon emissions will decrease by 0.803%. Furthermore, semi-urbanization, industrial structure, technological progress, human capital, and energy consumption show spillover impacts on carbon emissions, yet their impact mechanisms vary substantially across various regions. Based on these findings, we suggest several related policy implications for mitigating carbon emissions and promoting semi-urbanization in China.
半城市化是否能有效帮助减少碳排放,这一问题已引起学者和政策制定者的广泛关注。据作者所知,目前还没有从空间角度探讨半城市化对碳排放影响的实证研究。本文利用 2000 年至 2014 年中国 30 个省份的面板数据,采用空间回归方法检验了半城市化与碳排放之间的关系,并分析了半城市化与碳排放之间的空间传递机制。实证结果表明,半城市化对各地区的碳排放存在正向空间溢出效应。同时,我们发现半城市化不仅促进了特定地区的减排,还显著降低了周边地区的碳排放,这意味着存在显著的负向总效应。此外,半城市化降低了碳排放,即半城市化每增加 1%,碳排放将减少 0.803%。进一步地,半城市化、产业结构、技术进步、人力资本和能源消费对碳排放都具有溢出效应,但在不同地区的影响机制存在显著差异。基于这些发现,本文提出了一些相关政策建议,以促进中国的碳排放减排和半城市化发展。