Office of Cancer Screening, National Cancer Center / National Clinical Research Center for Cancer / Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College / Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences Key Laboratory for National Cancer Big Data Analysis and Implement, Beijing, 100021, China.
Department of Etiology, Qidong Liver Cancer Institute, Qidong People's Hospital, Qidong, 226200, Jiangsu Province, China.
Cancer Lett. 2022 Jun 28;536:215652. doi: 10.1016/j.canlet.2022.215652. Epub 2022 Mar 19.
We aimed to evaluate the long-term efficacy of the hepatitis B vaccine in China. In an initial efficacy study, participants were collected from a cluster-randomized clinical trial conducted in 1983-90 in Qidong. All the participants in the vaccination group were vaccinated at birth, 1 and 6 months of age, and no intervention was implemented to the control group. In this 37-year extended follow-up study, the Poisson regression method was employed to derive rates per 10 person-years. The frailty Cox proportional hazard regression models obtained the hazard ratio (HR). Cumulative incidence/mortality rates were calculated and compared with log-rank tests. 41,136 in the vaccination and 41,730 in the control group were recorded. The incidence rate of liver cancer was significantly lower in the vaccinated group than in the control group [HR, 0.28; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.11-0.70, P = 0.007]. The vaccine offers 72% (95% CI, 30-89) protection to prevent the occurrence of liver cancer. There is 70% (95% CI, 23-88) protective efficacy against liver cancer deaths and 64% (95% CI, 27-82) benefits in the prevention of deaths associated with liver diseases. Hepatitis B vaccine given at birth shows excellent protective effects in preventing the development of liver cancer and reducing mortality from liver cancer and liver diseases.
我们旨在评估乙型肝炎疫苗在中国的长期疗效。在一项初始疗效研究中,参与者是从 1983 年至 1990 年在启东进行的一项集群随机临床试验中收集的。所有接种组的参与者均在出生时、1 个月和 6 个月时接种疫苗,对照组未进行任何干预。在这项长达 37 年的随访研究中,采用泊松回归法计算每 10 人年的发生率。使用脆弱 Cox 比例风险回归模型获得风险比(HR)。计算累积发病率/死亡率并与对数秩检验进行比较。接种组有 41136 例,对照组有 41730 例。接种组肝癌的发病率明显低于对照组[HR,0.28;95%置信区间(CI)0.11-0.70,P=0.007]。该疫苗可预防肝癌发生的概率为 72%(95%CI,30-89%)。预防肝癌死亡的保护效力为 70%(95%CI,23-88%),预防与肝脏疾病相关的死亡的获益为 64%(95%CI,27-82%)。出生时接种乙型肝炎疫苗可显著预防肝癌的发生和降低肝癌及肝脏疾病导致的死亡率。
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