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二氧化碳排放与健康结果:尼日利亚的情况真的存在关联吗?

Carbon dioxide emission and health outcomes: is there really a nexus for the Nigerian case?

机构信息

Department of Economics, Babcock University, Ogun State, Nigeria.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2022 Aug;29(37):56309-56322. doi: 10.1007/s11356-022-19365-x. Epub 2022 Mar 25.

Abstract

Health outcomes in sub-Saharan Africa are characteristically poor and Nigeria is no exception. Despite the recorded decline in infant and under five mortality rates in Nigeria, they still remain relatively high showing a poor status of the population's health. Carbon dioxide emission continues to fluctuate at high levels probably due to the increasing use of non renewable energy forms for economic activities mostly requiring energy consumption. This study examines the health consequences of environmental quality due to carbon dioxide emission in Nigeria for the period 1980 to 2016. Using two health outcome measures and decomposing carbon dioxide emission by sector and type of fuel consumed, a bound cointegration approach and an autoregressive distributed lag model were also employed. The results and a sensitivity analysis revealed that aggregate carbon dioxide emission significantly explained both infant mortality and under five mortality rates. However, when disaggregated, carbon dioxide emission from solid fuel had the greatest contribution to poor health outcomes.

摘要

撒哈拉以南非洲的健康状况普遍较差,尼日利亚也不例外。尽管尼日利亚婴儿和五岁以下儿童死亡率有所下降,但仍相对较高,表明人口健康状况不佳。由于经济活动主要需要能源消耗,越来越多地使用不可再生能源形式,二氧化碳排放量继续在高水平上波动。本研究考察了 1980 年至 2016 年期间尼日利亚由于二氧化碳排放而导致的环境质量对健康的影响。使用两种健康结果指标,并按部门和所消耗燃料类型对二氧化碳排放进行分解,采用了有界协整方法和自回归分布滞后模型。结果和敏感性分析表明,总二氧化碳排放量显著解释了婴儿死亡率和五岁以下儿童死亡率。然而,当进行细分时,固体燃料产生的二氧化碳排放对健康结果的贡献最大。

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