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通过指标追踪气候变化对人类健康的影响:柳叶刀倒计时的经验教训。

Tracking the impacts of climate change on human health via indicators: lessons from the Lancet Countdown.

机构信息

School of Agriculture, Policy and Development, University of Reading, Reading, UK.

Department of Geography and Environmental Science, University of Reading, Reading, UK.

出版信息

BMC Public Health. 2022 Apr 6;22(1):663. doi: 10.1186/s12889-022-13055-6.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

In the past decades, climate change has been impacting human lives and health via extreme weather and climate events and alterations in labour capacity, food security, and the prevalence and geographical distribution of infectious diseases across the globe. Climate change and health indicators (CCHIs) are workable tools designed to capture the complex set of interdependent interactions through which climate change is affecting human health. Since 2015, a novel sub-set of CCHIs, focusing on climate change impacts, exposures, and vulnerability indicators (CCIEVIs) has been developed, refined, and integrated by Working Group 1 of the "Lancet Countdown: Tracking Progress on Health and Climate Change", an international collaboration across disciplines that include climate, geography, epidemiology, occupation health, and economics.

DISCUSSION

This research in practice article is a reflective narrative documenting how we have developed CCIEVIs as a discrete set of quantifiable indicators that are updated annually to provide the most recent picture of climate change's impacts on human health. In our experience, the main challenge was to define globally relevant indicators that also have local relevance and as such can support decision making across multiple spatial scales. We found a hazard, exposure, and vulnerability framework to be effective in this regard. We here describe how we used such a framework to define CCIEVIs based on both data availability and the indicators' relevance to climate change and human health. We also report on how CCIEVIs have been improved and added to, detailing the underlying data and methods, and in doing so provide the defining quality criteria for Lancet Countdown CCIEVIs.

CONCLUSIONS

Our experience shows that CCIEVIs can effectively contribute to a world-wide monitoring system that aims to track, communicate, and harness evidence on climate-induced health impacts towards effective intervention strategies. An ongoing challenge is how to improve CCIEVIs so that the description of the linkages between climate change and human health can become more and more comprehensive.

摘要

背景

在过去几十年中,气候变化通过极端天气和气候事件以及劳动力能力、粮食安全以及全球传染病的流行和地理分布的改变,对人类生活和健康产生了影响。气候变化与健康指标(CCHIs)是一种可行的工具,旨在通过相互依存的复杂相互作用来捕捉气候变化对人类健康的影响。自 2015 年以来,“柳叶刀倒计时:追踪健康与气候变化进展”工作组 1 开发、完善和整合了一套新的 CCHIs 子集,重点关注气候变化影响、暴露和脆弱性指标(CCIEVIs),这是一个跨学科的国际合作,包括气候、地理、流行病学、职业健康和经济学。

讨论

这篇实践研究文章是一个反思性叙述,记录了我们如何将 CCIEVIs 作为一套可量化的指标进行开发,这些指标每年都会更新,以提供气候变化对人类健康影响的最新情况。在我们的经验中,主要的挑战是定义具有全球相关性的指标,同时也具有地方相关性,因此可以支持跨多个空间尺度的决策。我们发现危害、暴露和脆弱性框架在这方面非常有效。我们在这里描述了如何使用这样的框架来根据数据的可用性以及指标与气候变化和人类健康的相关性来定义 CCIEVIs。我们还报告了 CCIEVIs 的改进和增加情况,详细说明了基础数据和方法,并在此过程中提供了 Lancet Countdown CCIEVIs 的定义质量标准。

结论

我们的经验表明,CCIEVIs 可以有效地为一个全球性的监测系统做出贡献,该系统旨在跟踪、交流和利用有关气候引起的健康影响的证据,以制定有效的干预策略。一个持续的挑战是如何改进 CCIEVIs,以便更全面地描述气候变化与人类健康之间的联系。

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