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乐观与生存:健康行为作为中介变量——对中国老年人的十年随访研究

Optimism and survival: health behaviors as a mediator-a ten-year follow-up study of Chinese elderly people.

作者信息

Yue Zhang, Liang Hang, Qin Xigang, Ge Yang, Xiang Nan, Liu Erpeng

机构信息

School of Public Administration, Zhongnan University of Economics and Law, Wuhan, 430073, China.

Institute of Income Distribution and Public Finance, Zhongnan University of Economics and Law, Wuhan, 430073, China.

出版信息

BMC Public Health. 2022 Apr 6;22(1):670. doi: 10.1186/s12889-022-13090-3.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Optimism-the generalized expectation that good things will happen-is a promising health asset. Mounting evidence indicates that there are specific associations between optimism and survival rates. However, for public health purposes, it is critical to consider whether the relationship between optimism and survival holds for older adults as a whole and to explore the role of health behaviors as potential mediators.

METHODS

Prospective data were obtained from the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey (CLHLS). Optimism was measured in 2008, and survival was measured by survival time of the interviewees during the whole observation period from 2008 to 2018. Cox proportional hazard models were employed to evaluate the association between optimism and survival among the elderly. The mediating effect analysis method was used to explore the potential mediating role of health behaviors on the association between optimism and survival.

RESULTS

Compared to less optimistic older adults, optimistic individuals were associated with lower odds of mortality (HR = 0.94, 95% CI = 0.89 - 0.99). Health behaviors are key elements that play a positive role in survival (HR = 0.95, 95% CI = 0.94 - 0.96). Health behaviors played an intermediary role in the relationship between optimism and mortality, and the mediating effect was -0.005.

CONCLUSIONS

Optimism and health behaviors were broadly and robustly associated with a lower risk of mortality. Health behaviors mediate the relationship between optimism and mortality. Appropriate intervention should be carried out on optimism and health behaviors among elderly people to improve the likelihood of health in aging.

摘要

背景

乐观主义——即相信好事将会发生的普遍预期——是一种很有前景的健康资产。越来越多的证据表明,乐观主义与生存率之间存在特定关联。然而,出于公共卫生目的,至关重要的是要考虑乐观主义与生存率之间的关系是否适用于全体老年人,并探究健康行为作为潜在中介因素所起的作用。

方法

前瞻性数据来自中国老年健康影响因素跟踪调查(CLHLS)。2008年对乐观主义进行了测量,通过受访者在2008年至2018年整个观察期内的生存时间来衡量生存率。采用Cox比例风险模型评估老年人中乐观主义与生存率之间的关联。运用中介效应分析方法探究健康行为在乐观主义与生存率之间关联中的潜在中介作用。

结果

与乐观程度较低的老年人相比,乐观的个体死亡几率较低(风险比[HR]=0.94,95%置信区间[CI]=0.89 - 0.99)。健康行为是对生存起积极作用的关键因素(HR=0.95,95%CI=0.94 - 0.96)。健康行为在乐观主义与死亡率之间的关系中起中介作用,中介效应为-0.005。

结论

乐观主义和健康行为与较低的死亡风险广泛且稳健地相关。健康行为介导了乐观主义与死亡率之间的关系。应针对老年人的乐观主义和健康行为进行适当干预,以提高老龄化过程中的健康可能性。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/366c/8988364/c5c288b4d6a9/12889_2022_13090_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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