Menni Cristina, Valdes Ana M, Polidori Lorenzo, Antonelli Michela, Penamakuri Satya, Nogal Ana, Louca Panayiotis, May Anna, Figueiredo Jane C, Hu Christina, Molteni Erika, Canas Liane, Österdahl Marc F, Modat Marc, Sudre Carole H, Fox Ben, Hammers Alexander, Wolf Jonathan, Capdevila Joan, Chan Andrew T, David Sean P, Steves Claire J, Ourselin Sebastien, Spector Tim D
Department of Twin Research and Genetic Epidemiology, King's College London, London, UK.
Nottingham NIHR Biomedical Research Centre at the School of Medicine, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK.
Lancet. 2022 Apr 23;399(10335):1618-1624. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(22)00327-0. Epub 2022 Apr 7.
The SARS-CoV-2 variant of concern, omicron, appears to be less severe than delta. We aim to quantify the differences in symptom prevalence, risk of hospital admission, and symptom duration among the vaccinated population.
In this prospective longitudinal observational study, we collected data from participants who were self-reporting test results and symptoms in the ZOE COVID app (previously known as the COVID Symptoms Study App). Eligible participants were aged 16-99 years, based in the UK, with a body-mass index between 15 and 55 kg/m, had received at least two doses of any SARS-CoV-2 vaccine, were symptomatic, and logged a positive symptomatic PCR or lateral flow result for SARS-CoV-2 during the study period. The primary outcome was the likelihood of developing a given symptom (of the 32 monitored in the app) or hospital admission within 7 days before or after the positive test in participants infected during omicron prevalence compared with those infected during delta prevalence.
Between June 1, 2021, and Jan 17, 2022, we identified 63 002 participants who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 and reported symptoms in the ZOE app. These patients were matched 1:1 for age, sex, and vaccination dose, across two periods (June 1 to Nov 27, 2021, delta prevalent at >70%; n=4990, and Dec 20, 2021, to Jan 17, 2022, omicron prevalent at >70%; n=4990). Loss of smell was less common in participants infected during omicron prevalence than during delta prevalence (16·7% vs 52·7%, odds ratio [OR] 0·17; 95% CI 0·16-0·19, p<0·001). Sore throat was more common during omicron prevalence than during delta prevalence (70·5% vs 60·8%, 1·55; 1·43-1·69, p<0·001). There was a lower rate of hospital admission during omicron prevalence than during delta prevalence (1·9% vs 2·6%, OR 0·75; 95% CI 0·57-0·98, p=0·03).
The prevalence of symptoms that characterise an omicron infection differs from those of the delta SARS-CoV-2 variant, apparently with less involvement of the lower respiratory tract and reduced probability of hospital admission. Our data indicate a shorter period of illness and potentially of infectiousness which should impact work-health policies and public health advice.
Wellcome Trust, ZOE, National Institute for Health Research, Chronic Disease Research Foundation, National Institutes of Health, and Medical Research Council.
令人担忧的新冠病毒变异株奥密克戎似乎比德尔塔毒株的致病性要弱。我们旨在量化接种疫苗人群中症状发生率、住院风险和症状持续时间的差异。
在这项前瞻性纵向观察研究中,我们从在ZOE新冠应用程序(前身为新冠症状研究应用程序)中自行报告检测结果和症状的参与者那里收集数据。符合条件的参与者年龄在16至99岁之间,居住在英国,体重指数在15至55kg/m之间,已接种至少两剂任何新冠病毒疫苗,出现症状,并在研究期间记录了新冠病毒症状性PCR检测或侧向流动检测呈阳性结果。主要结局是在奥密克戎毒株流行期间感染的参与者与德尔塔毒株流行期间感染的参与者相比,在阳性检测前或后的7天内出现特定症状(应用程序中监测的32种症状)或住院的可能性。
在2021年6月1日至2022年1月17日期间,我们在ZOE应用程序中确定了63002名新冠病毒检测呈阳性并报告有症状的参与者。这些患者在两个时期(2021年6月1日至11月27日,德尔塔毒株流行率>70%;n = 4990,以及2021年12月20日至2022年1月17日,奥密克戎毒株流行率>70%;n = 4990)按年龄、性别和疫苗接种剂量进行1:1匹配。在奥密克戎毒株流行期间感染的参与者中,嗅觉丧失的情况比德尔塔毒株流行期间感染的参与者中更为少见(16.7%对52.7%,优势比[OR]0.17;95%置信区间0.16 - 0.19,p<0.001)。在奥密克戎毒株流行期间,喉咙痛比德尔塔毒株流行期间更为常见(70.5%对60.8%,1.55;1.43 - 1.69,p<0.001)。奥密克戎毒株流行期间的住院率低于德尔塔毒株流行期间(1.9%对2.6%,OR 0.75;95%置信区间0.57 - 0.98,p = 0.03)。
奥密克戎感染的特征性症状发生率与德尔塔新冠病毒变异株不同,明显下呼吸道受累较少,住院概率降低。我们的数据表明病程和潜在传染性较短,这应会影响工作 - 健康政策和公共卫生建议。
惠康信托基金会、ZOE、国家卫生研究院、慢性病研究基金会、美国国立卫生研究院和医学研究理事会。