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识别不同一年结局的脓毒症幸存者的临床亚型:FROG-ICU 队列的二次潜在类别分析。

Identifying clinical subtypes in sepsis-survivors with different one-year outcomes: a secondary latent class analysis of the FROG-ICU cohort.

机构信息

Interdepartmental Division of Critical Care, Faculty of Medicine, St Michael's Hospital, Keenan Research Centre for Biomedical Science and Institute of Medical Sciences, University of Toronto, 209 Victoria St 7th Floor, Toronto, ON, M5B 1T8, Canada.

Department of Biostatistics, Princess Margaret Cancer Centre, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada.

出版信息

Crit Care. 2022 Apr 21;26(1):114. doi: 10.1186/s13054-022-03972-8.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Late mortality risk in sepsis-survivors persists for years with high readmission rates and low quality of life. The present study seeks to link the clinical sepsis-survivors heterogeneity with distinct biological profiles at ICU discharge and late adverse events using an unsupervised analysis.

METHODS

In the original FROG-ICU prospective, observational, multicenter study, intensive care unit (ICU) patients with sepsis on admission (Sepsis-3) were identified (N = 655). Among them, 467 were discharged alive from the ICU and included in the current study. Latent class analysis was applied to identify distinct sepsis-survivors clinical classes using readily available data at ICU discharge. The primary endpoint was one-year mortality after ICU discharge.

RESULTS

At ICU discharge, two distinct subtypes were identified (A and B) using 15 readily available clinical and biological variables. Patients assigned to subtype B (48% of the studied population) had more impaired cardiovascular and kidney functions, hematological disorders and inflammation at ICU discharge than subtype A. Sepsis-survivors in subtype B had significantly higher one-year mortality compared to subtype A (respectively, 34% vs 16%, p < 0.001). When adjusted for standard long-term risk factors (e.g., age, comorbidities, severity of illness, renal function and duration of ICU stay), subtype B was independently associated with increased one-year mortality (adjusted hazard ratio (HR) = 1.74 (95% CI 1.16-2.60); p = 0.006).

CONCLUSIONS

A subtype with sustained organ failure and inflammation at ICU discharge can be identified from routine clinical and laboratory data and is independently associated with poor long-term outcome in sepsis-survivors. Trial registration NCT01367093; https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT01367093 .

摘要

背景

脓毒症幸存者的晚期死亡率持续多年,再入院率高,生活质量低。本研究旨在通过无监督分析,将临床脓毒症幸存者的异质性与 ICU 出院时的不同生物学特征和晚期不良事件联系起来。

方法

在原始的 FROG-ICU 前瞻性、观察性、多中心研究中,对入院时患有脓毒症的重症监护病房(ICU)患者(Sepsis-3)进行了识别(N=655)。其中,467 名 ICU 存活出院患者纳入本研究。应用潜在类别分析,根据 ICU 出院时的可用数据识别不同的脓毒症幸存者临床类别。主要终点为 ICU 出院后 1 年死亡率。

结果

在 ICU 出院时,使用 15 个易于获得的临床和生物学变量,识别出两种不同的亚型(A 和 B)。与亚型 A 相比,被分到亚型 B 的患者(占研究人群的 48%)在 ICU 出院时的心血管和肾脏功能、血液系统疾病和炎症更为受损。与亚型 A 相比,亚型 B 的脓毒症幸存者 1 年死亡率显著更高(分别为 34%和 16%,p<0.001)。在校正了标准的长期风险因素(如年龄、合并症、疾病严重程度、肾功能和 ICU 住院时间)后,亚型 B 与 1 年死亡率的增加独立相关(调整后的危险比(HR)=1.74(95%置信区间 1.16-2.60);p=0.006)。

结论

可以从常规临床和实验室数据中识别出一种在 ICU 出院时持续存在器官衰竭和炎症的亚型,并且与脓毒症幸存者的不良长期预后独立相关。

试验注册 NCT01367093;https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT01367093。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/22db/9022336/c229aab5f4c3/13054_2022_3972_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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