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环境研发与贸易调整后的碳排放:评估国际贸易的作用。

Environmental R&D and trade-adjusted carbon emissions: evaluating the role of international trade.

机构信息

College of Economics, Liaoning University, Shenyang, Liaoning, 110000, China.

School of Business, Zhengzhou University, Henan, Zhengzhou, China.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2022 Sep;29(42):63155-63170. doi: 10.1007/s11356-022-20003-9. Epub 2022 Apr 22.

Abstract

In the contemporary era, it is evident that consumption-based carbon emissions (CCO2e), adjusted for international trade, are a more accurate and robust measure of environmental pollution than production-based emissions. Therefore, many studies have focused on exploring the determinants of CCO2e; however, the literature could not yet discern environment-related R&D budget (ERRD) and political risk index (PRI) as a new driver. To fill this gap, the current paper aims to divulge the dynamic effects of ERRD and PRI on CCO2e while taking imports, exports, and GDP as control regressors. To do so, the G7 nations' data from 1990 to 2020 is utilized, and several advanced econometric tests and techniques are deployed to tackle the advanced issues (i.e., cross-section dependence, heterogeneity, and endogeneity) in econometrics. The CS-ARDL estimates suggest that PRI and ERRD significantly lessen the environmental quality by disrupting the detrimental effects of CCO2e. Likewise, the rise in exports possesses a negative association with the ratio of CCO2e. However, CCO2e significantly tends to surge on account of an increase in GDP and imports. GDP squared exhibits the negative link with CCO2e, confirming the EKC hypothesis in G7 nations. Besides, the AMG technique and causality test validate the robustness of our findings. In addition, the policies related to CCO2e by authorities will take approximately more than a year to absorb their effects.

摘要

在当今时代,经过国际贸易调整后的消费碳排放(CCO2e)显然比生产碳排放更能准确和有效地衡量环境污染。因此,许多研究都集中在探索 CCO2e 的决定因素上;然而,该文献尚未将环境相关研发预算(ERRD)和政治风险指数(PRI)视为新的驱动因素。为了填补这一空白,本论文旨在探讨 ERRD 和 PRI 对 CCO2e 的动态影响,同时将进口、出口和 GDP 作为控制回归变量。为此,利用了 1990 年至 2020 年期间的 G7 国家数据,并采用了几种先进的计量经济学测试和技术来解决计量经济学中的高级问题(即横截面依赖性、异质性和内生性)。CS-ARDL 估计表明,PRI 和 ERRD 通过破坏 CCO2e 的不利影响,显著降低了环境质量。同样,出口的增加与 CCO2e 之比呈负相关。然而,由于 GDP 和进口的增加,CCO2e 显著呈上升趋势。GDP 的平方与 CCO2e 呈负相关,证实了 G7 国家的 EKC 假说。此外,AMG 技术和因果关系检验验证了我们研究结果的稳健性。此外,当局针对 CCO2e 采取的政策大约需要一年多的时间才能吸收其影响。

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