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丹麦环境创新和 GDP 二氧化碳强度对基于消费的二氧化碳排放的非对称和长期影响。

The asymmetric and long-run effect of environmental innovation and CO intensity of GDP on consumption-based CO emissions in Denmark.

机构信息

Department of Banking and Finance, Faculty of Economic and Administrative Sciences, European University of Lefke, Lefke, Northern Cyprus, Turkey.

Department of Business Administration, Faculty of Management Sciences, ILMA University, Karachi, Pakistan.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Apr;30(17):50110-50124. doi: 10.1007/s11356-023-25811-1. Epub 2023 Feb 15.

Abstract

The study explores the relationship between globalization, GDP, the carbon intensity of GDP, patents, and its effect on consumption-based carbon emissions (CCOE). For analysis, novel econometric approaches include nonlinear ARDL and Fourier ARDL, and for robustness, dynamic OLS applied. The results from cointegration tests reveal that there exists a significant long-run relationship between CCOE, globalization, economic growth, patents, and the carbon intensity of GDP. Additionally, the empirical results indicate that only positive shock in patents on environmental innovations have a negative and significant impact on CCOE, while positive and negative shocks in GDP and carbon intensity of GDP significantly increase CCOE. However, only a negative shock in globalization demonstrates the increase in CCOE. Also, dynamic OLS findings confirmed the robustness. Given the outcome, it is recommended that the Danish government be cautious when approving policies intended to increase economic growth, as this could negatively affect environmental sustainability. More so, research and development must contribute to technological advancement in the Danish manufacturing sector. Despite this, it is important to prioritize patent promotion. Patent protection can enable Denmark to develop eco-friendly technologies that can reduce carbon emissions, thus enabling life to be more sustainable by utilizing fewer resources and energy. Denmark can reduce COE and foster economic development through a strong patent system on environmental technologies.

摘要

本研究探讨了全球化、国内生产总值(GDP)、GDP 的碳强度、专利以及它们对消费碳排放(CCOE)的影响之间的关系。为进行分析,采用了新颖的计量经济学方法,包括非线性 ARDL 和 Fourier ARDL,为了保证稳健性,还应用了动态 OLS。协整检验结果表明,CCOE、全球化、经济增长、专利和 GDP 的碳强度之间存在显著的长期关系。此外,实证结果表明,只有环境创新专利的正冲击对 CCOE 有显著的负向影响,而 GDP 和 GDP 碳强度的正冲击和负冲击均显著增加了 CCOE。然而,只有全球化的负冲击会导致 CCOE 的增加。动态 OLS 的结果也证实了结果的稳健性。鉴于这一结果,建议丹麦政府在批准旨在促进经济增长的政策时要谨慎,因为这可能会对环境可持续性产生负面影响。更重要的是,研发必须为丹麦制造业的技术进步做出贡献。尽管如此,促进专利也很重要。专利保护可以使丹麦开发环保技术,从而减少碳排放,通过利用更少的资源和能源使生活更加可持续。丹麦可以通过强大的环境技术专利制度来降低 COE 并促进经济发展。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bb1a/9930696/956a40093bc7/11356_2023_25811_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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