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基于均衡理论的淮河(中国)流域中上游水资源多目标优化配置

Multi-objective optimal water resources allocation in the middle and upper reaches of the Huaihe River Basin (China) based on equilibrium theory.

作者信息

Dong Zengchuan, Zhang Jitao, Zhang Ke, Wang Xinkui, Chen Tian

机构信息

College of Hydrology and Water Resources, Hohai University, Nanjing, 210000, China.

International Institute for Infrastructural, Hydraulic and Environmental Engineering, Delft, 2628 AX, The Netherlands.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2022 Apr 22;12(1):6606. doi: 10.1038/s41598-022-10599-w.

Abstract

In the river basin water resources allocation (WRA) problem, an unbalanced WRA poses challenges to water resources management departments. Many studies focus on achieving a lower water shortage rate while ignoring the equilibrium relationship among the socio-economic system, water resources system and eco-environmental system, as well as the equilibrium relationship among different regions. In this study, a water resources allocation model(WRAM) based on equilibrium theory is constructed to achieve the balance between different systems and different spaces in a basin. First, the relationship among the water resources system, socio-economic system and eco-environmental system is described. Then, the regional equilibrium index and system equilibrium index are constructed. Finally, the first model based on equilibrium theory is constructed. The results show that: (1) the Pareto Front reflects the contradictory relationship between economic development and environmental sustainability; (2) with the restructuring of industry and cropping, both economic efficiency and water shortage rates improve; (3) the equilibrium of the basin could also be further improved if water resources utilisation is further improved. Therefore, this study improves the existing WRAM, which can be applied to guide the water resources management of river basin.

摘要

在流域水资源配置(WRA)问题中,不均衡的水资源配置给水资源管理部门带来了挑战。许多研究侧重于实现较低的缺水率,却忽视了社会经济系统、水资源系统和生态环境系统之间的平衡关系,以及不同区域之间的平衡关系。在本研究中,构建了一种基于均衡理论的水资源配置模型(WRAM),以实现流域内不同系统和不同空间之间的平衡。首先,描述了水资源系统、社会经济系统和生态环境系统之间的关系。然后,构建了区域均衡指数和系统均衡指数。最后,构建了基于均衡理论的首个模型。结果表明:(1)帕累托前沿反映了经济发展与环境可持续性之间的矛盾关系;(2)随着产业和种植结构的调整,经济效率和缺水率均有所提高;(3)如果进一步提高水资源利用效率,流域的均衡性也可进一步改善。因此,本研究改进了现有的WRAM,可用于指导流域的水资源管理。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2819/9033815/19a33f69b21a/41598_2022_10599_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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