J Int Bioethique Ethique Sci. 2022 Mar 9;Vol. 32(4):151-153. doi: 10.3917/jibes.324.0151.
Drawing lessons from the first wave of Covid-19, and the management of the pandemic by the French health authorities, this article questions the “steepest curve” argument –an argument that consists, in a situation of radical uncertainty, and by “precaution”, in systematically projecting the worst-case scenario. But, is this rationale of anticipating the worst that might happen pertinent for dealing with crises? This is not what practices teach us, by which gentler slopes, “average” slopes, discovered day by day in the light of experience, have emerged. This article therefore aims to defend another paradigm in the management of uncertainty: that of a phronesis, a prudence guided by practices.
借鉴第一波新冠疫情和法国卫生当局对疫情的管理经验，本文对“最陡峭曲线”这一论点提出质疑——在极度不确定的情况下，通过“预防”措施，系统地预测最坏情况。但是，这种预先设想可能发生的最坏情况的基本原理是否适用于应对危机呢？实践经验告诉我们，并非如此，我们逐渐发现了更为缓和的“平均”坡度。因此，本文旨在为不确定性管理提供另一种模式：实践导向的实践智慧。
