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一种用于选择具有二维不确定语言集的城市固体废物管理方案的新型多准则决策框架。

A novel multi-criteria decision-making framework for selecting municipal solid waste management alternative with 2-dimensional uncertain linguistic sets.

作者信息

Che Yue, Zhang Xuelan

机构信息

School of Mathematics and Physics, University of Science and Technology Beijing, Beijing, 10083, China.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2022 Sep;29(45):68582-68599. doi: 10.1007/s11356-022-20494-6. Epub 2022 May 11.

Abstract

Municipal solid waste management (MSWM) has been considered as a complicated multi-criteria decision-making problem for the uncertain context and related criteria. To select an optimal MSWM scenario, this paper provides a comprehensive MCDM framework for decision-makers under 2-dimensional uncertain linguistic (2-DUL) environment. Distinguished from traditional approaches, this framework not only guarantees the consistency of comparison matrix but improves effectiveness and efficiency in the decision process. Moreover, it accurately solves the cardinal and ordinal information of MSWM scenarios. Firstly, due to ambiguous and uncertain decision context, the 2-DUL set, characterized by I class of the linguistic evaluation information and II class of the reliability of the assessment results, is adopted to describe decision-makers' preference. An expectation reduced-dimension is developed to effectively handle 2-DUL set. Secondly, to guarantee consistency and reduce numerical pairwise comparisons, a best-worst-method (BWM)-based analytic network process (ANP) is utilized to form the local priority vectors of the main criteria and sub-criteria. Main criteria weights and sub-criteria weights are then obtained by aggregating all local priority vectors. Thirdly, an extended QUALIFLEX approach is employed to rank all alternative MSWM scenarios by comparing the weighted concordance/discordance index among overall possible permutations of all alternative scenarios. Finally, the developed framework is applied in a case study to determine an optimal MSWM scenario in Beijing. Additionally, a comparison analysis is complemented. The results demonstrate that the proposed framework is feasible, efficient, and superior in MSWM scenarios selection.

摘要

城市固体废物管理(MSWM)因其不确定的背景和相关标准,一直被视为一个复杂的多标准决策问题。为了选择最优的城市固体废物管理方案,本文为二维不确定语言(2-DUL)环境下的决策者提供了一个全面的多准则决策框架。与传统方法不同,该框架不仅保证了比较矩阵的一致性,还提高了决策过程的有效性和效率。此外,它能准确求解城市固体废物管理方案的基数和序数信息。首先,由于决策背景模糊且不确定,采用以I类语言评价信息和II类评估结果可靠性为特征的二维不确定语言集来描述决策者的偏好。开发了一种期望降维方法来有效处理二维不确定语言集。其次,为了保证一致性并减少数值成对比较,利用基于最佳-最差方法(BWM)的网络分析法(ANP)来形成主要准则和子准则的局部优先向量。然后通过聚合所有局部优先向量得到主要准则权重和子准则权重。第三,采用扩展的QUALIFLEX方法,通过比较所有替代方案的所有可能排列中的加权一致性/不一致性指数,对所有替代的城市固体废物管理方案进行排序。最后,将所开发的框架应用于一个案例研究,以确定北京的最优城市固体废物管理方案。此外,还进行了比较分析。结果表明,所提出的框架在城市固体废物管理方案选择中是可行、高效且优越的。

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