Rohrer Julia M, Schmukle Stefan C, McElreath Richard
Department of Psychology, Leipzig University, D-04109Leipzig,
Department of Human Behavior, Ecology, and Culture, Max Planck Institute for Evolutionary Anthropology, D-04103Leipzig, Germany.
Behav Brain Sci. 2022 May 13;45:e91. doi: 10.1017/S0140525X21000789.
In psychology, causal inference - both the transport from lab estimates to the real world and estimation on the basis of observational data - is often pursued in a casual manner. Underlying assumptions remain unarticulated; potential pitfalls are compiled in post-hoc lists of flaws. The field should move on to coherent frameworks of causal inference and generalizability that have been developed elsewhere.
在心理学领域，因果推断——从实验室估计推广到现实世界以及基于观测数据进行估计——往往是随意进行的。潜在的假设仍未明确阐述；潜在的陷阱被整理在事后的缺陷清单中。该领域应转向其他地方已经开发出的连贯的因果推断和可推广性框架。
