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一项关于中国武汉新冠病毒传播及政策干预措施的社区层面研究。

A community-level study on COVID-19 transmission and policy interventions in Wuhan, China.

作者信息

Gao Zhe, Wang Siqin, Gu Jiang, Gu Chaolin, Liu Regina

机构信息

Hubei Provincial Key Laboratory for Geographical Process Analysis & Simulation, Central China Normal University, Wuhan, Hubei Province 430079, China.

School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Queensland, Brisbane 4067, Australia.

出版信息

Cities. 2022 Aug;127:103745. doi: 10.1016/j.cities.2022.103745. Epub 2022 May 13.

Abstract

The specific factors and response strategies that affect COVID-19 transmission in local communities remain under-explored in the current literature due to a lack of data. Based on primary COVID-19 data collected at the community level in Wuhan, China, our study contributes a community-level investigation on COVID-19 transmission and response strategies by addressing two research questions: 1) What community factors are associated with viral transmission? and 2) What are the key mechanisms behind policy interventions towards controlling viral transmission within local communities? We conducted two sets of analyses to address these two questions-quantitative analyses of the relationship between community factors and viral transmission and qualitative analyses of policy interventions on community transmission. Our findings show that the viral spread in local communities is irrelevant to the built environment of a community and its socioeconomic position but is related to its demographic composition. Specifically, groups under the age of 18 play an important role in viral transmission. Moreover, a series of community shutdown management initiatives (e.g., group buying, delivering supplies, and self-reporting of health conditions) play an important role in curbing viral transmission at the local level that can be applied to other geographic contexts.

摘要

由于缺乏数据,目前文献中对影响新冠病毒在当地社区传播的具体因素及应对策略的研究仍不充分。基于在中国武汉社区层面收集的新冠病毒原始数据,我们的研究通过解决两个研究问题,对新冠病毒传播及应对策略进行了社区层面的调查:1)哪些社区因素与病毒传播有关?2)地方社区控制病毒传播的政策干预背后的关键机制是什么?我们进行了两组分析来解决这两个问题——对社区因素与病毒传播之间关系的定量分析以及对社区传播政策干预的定性分析。我们的研究结果表明,病毒在当地社区的传播与社区的建成环境及其社会经济地位无关,而是与其人口构成有关。具体而言,18岁以下人群在病毒传播中起着重要作用。此外,一系列社区封闭管理举措(如团购、物资配送和健康状况自我报告)在遏制当地病毒传播方面发挥了重要作用,这些举措可应用于其他地理环境。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/0824/9098919/ebf0fc3a85e0/gr1_lrg.jpg

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