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接受紧急启动腹膜透析的糖尿病患者6个月内死亡的危险因素:一项多中心回顾性队列研究。

Risk factors for mortality within 6 mo in patients with diabetes undergoing urgent-start peritoneal dialysis: A multicenter retrospective cohort study.

作者信息

Cheng Si-Yu, Yang Li-Ming, Sun Zhan-Shan, Zhang Xiao-Xuan, Zhu Xue-Yan, Meng Ling-Fei, Guo Shi-Zheng, Zhuang Xiao-Hua, Luo Ping, Cui Wen-Peng

机构信息

Department of Nephrology, The Second Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun 130041, Jilin Province, China.

Department of Nephrology, The First Hospital of Jilin University-the Eastern Division, Changchun 130041, Jilin Province, China.

出版信息

World J Diabetes. 2022 Apr 15;13(4):376-386. doi: 10.4239/wjd.v13.i4.376.

DOI:10.4239/wjd.v13.i4.376
PMID:35582665
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC9052007/
Abstract

BACKGROUND

The risk of early mortality of patients who start dialysis urgently is high; however, in patients with diabetes undergoing urgent-start peritoneal dialysis (USPD), the risk of, and risk factors for, early mortality are unknown.

AIM

To identify risk factors for mortality during high-risk periods in patients with diabetes undergoing USPD.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study enrolled 568 patients with diabetes, aged ≥ 18 years, who underwent USPD at one of five Chinese centers between 2013 and 2019. We divided the follow-up period into two survival phases: The first 6 mo of USPD therapy and the months thereafter. We compared demographic and baseline clinical data of living and deceased patients during each period. Kaplan-Meier survival curves were generated for all-cause mortality according to the New York Heart Association (NYHA) classification. A multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression model was used to identify risk factors for mortality within the first 6 mo and after 6 mo of USPD.

RESULTS

Forty-one patients died within the first 6 mo, accounting for the highest proportion of mortalities (26.62%) during the entire follow-up period. Cardiovascular disease was the leading cause of mortality within 6 mo (26.83%) and after 6 mo (31.86%). The risk of mortality not only within the first 6 mo but also after the first 6 mo was higher for patients with obvious baseline heart failure symptoms than for those with mild or no heart failure symptoms. Independent risk factors for mortality within the first 6 mo were advanced age [hazard ratio (HR: 1.908; 95%CI: 1.400-2.600; < 0.001), lower baseline serum creatinine level (HR: 0.727; 95%CI: 0.614-0.860; 0.001), higher baseline serum phosphorus level (HR: 3.162; 95%CI: 1.848-5.409; 0.001), and baseline NYHA class III-IV (HR: 2.148; 95%CI: 1.063-4.340; = 0.033). Independent risk factors for mortality after 6 mo were advanced age (HR: 1.246; 95%CI: 1.033-1.504; = 0.022) and baseline NYHA class III-IV (HR: 2.015; 95%CI: 1.298-3.130; = 0.002).

CONCLUSION

To reduce the risk of mortality within the first 6 mo of USPD in patients with diabetes, controlling the serum phosphorus level and improving cardiac function are recommended.

摘要

背景

紧急开始透析的患者早期死亡风险很高;然而,在接受紧急开始腹膜透析(USPD)的糖尿病患者中,早期死亡的风险及危险因素尚不清楚。

目的

确定接受USPD的糖尿病患者在高危期的死亡危险因素。

方法

这项回顾性队列研究纳入了568例年龄≥18岁、于2013年至2019年在中国五个中心之一接受USPD的糖尿病患者。我们将随访期分为两个生存阶段:USPD治疗的前6个月及其后的月份。我们比较了每个阶段存活和死亡患者的人口统计学和基线临床数据。根据纽约心脏协会(NYHA)分类生成全因死亡率的Kaplan-Meier生存曲线。使用多变量Cox比例风险回归模型确定USPD前6个月内及6个月后的死亡危险因素。

结果

41例患者在最初6个月内死亡,占整个随访期死亡人数的最高比例(26.62%)。心血管疾病是6个月内(26.83%)和6个月后(31.86%)的主要死亡原因。基线时有明显心力衰竭症状的患者不仅在最初6个月内而且在最初6个月后的死亡风险均高于轻度或无心力衰竭症状的患者。最初6个月内死亡的独立危险因素为高龄[风险比(HR):1.908;95%置信区间(CI):1.400 - 2.600;P < 0.001]、较低的基线血清肌酐水平(HR:0.727;95%CI:0.614 - 0.860;P < 0.001)、较高的基线血清磷水平(HR:3.162;95%CI:1.848 - 5.409;P < 0.001)以及基线NYHA III - IV级(HR:2.148;95%CI:1.063 - 4.340;P = 0.033)。6个月后死亡的独立危险因素为高龄(HR:1.246;95%CI:1.033 - 1.504;P = 0.022)和基线NYHA III - IV级(HR:2.015;95%CI:1.298 - 3.130;P = 0.002)。

结论

为降低糖尿病患者USPD最初6个月内的死亡风险,建议控制血清磷水平并改善心功能。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/05dd/9052007/d7b401439dda/WJD-13-376-g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/05dd/9052007/2a2b015864c6/WJD-13-376-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/05dd/9052007/2f88822ea695/WJD-13-376-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/05dd/9052007/7bf5645f1cc1/WJD-13-376-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/05dd/9052007/d7b401439dda/WJD-13-376-g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/05dd/9052007/2a2b015864c6/WJD-13-376-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/05dd/9052007/2f88822ea695/WJD-13-376-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/05dd/9052007/7bf5645f1cc1/WJD-13-376-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/05dd/9052007/d7b401439dda/WJD-13-376-g004.jpg

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