Rinsky R A, Smith A B, Hornung R, Filloon T G, Young R J, Okun A H, Landrigan P J
N Engl J Med. 1987 Apr 23;316(17):1044-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJM198704233161702.
To assess quantitatively the association between benzene exposure and leukemia, we examined the mortality rate of a cohort with occupational exposure to benzene. Cumulative exposure for each cohort member was estimated from historical air-sampling data and, when no sampling data existed, from interpolation on the basis of existing data. The overall standardized mortality ratio (a measure of relative risk multiplied by 100) for leukemia was 337 (95 percent confidence interval, 154 to 641), and that for multiple myeloma was 409 (95 percent confidence interval, 110 to 1047). With stratification according to levels of cumulative exposure, the standardized mortality ratios for leukemia increased from 109 to 322, 1186, and 6637 with increases in cumulative benzene exposure from less than 40 parts per million-years (ppm-years), to 40 to 199, 200 to 399, and 400 or more, respectively. A cumulative benzene exposure of 400 ppm-years is equivalent to a mean annual exposure of 10 ppm over a 40-year working lifetime; 10 ppm is the currently enforceable standard in the United States for occupational exposure to benzene. To examine the shape of the exposure-response relation, we performed a conditional logistic-regression analysis, in which 10 controls were matched to each cohort member with leukemia. From this model, it can be calculated that protection from benzene-induced leukemia would increase exponentially with any reduction in the permissible exposure limit.
为了定量评估苯暴露与白血病之间的关联,我们研究了一个职业性接触苯的队列的死亡率。根据历史空气采样数据估算每个队列成员的累积暴露量,当没有采样数据时,则根据现有数据进行内插估算。白血病的总体标准化死亡比(相对风险乘以100)为337(95%置信区间为154至641),多发性骨髓瘤的总体标准化死亡比为409(95%置信区间为110至1047)。根据累积暴露水平进行分层后,随着累积苯暴露量从低于40百万分率 - 年(ppm - 年)增加到40至199、200至399以及400或更高,白血病的标准化死亡比分别从109增加到322、1186和6637。400 ppm - 年的累积苯暴露量相当于在40年工作寿命期间平均每年暴露10 ppm;10 ppm是美国目前可强制执行的职业性苯暴露标准。为了研究暴露 - 反应关系的形状,我们进行了条件逻辑回归分析,其中为每个白血病队列成员匹配10名对照。从该模型可以计算出,任何允许暴露限值的降低都将使预防苯诱导白血病的能力呈指数增加。