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高维协变量下因果推断的倾向评分方法评估。

Evaluation of propensity score methods for causal inference with high-dimensional covariates.

机构信息

Department of Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, China.

Department of Health Statistics, School of Public Health and Management, Binzhou Medical University, Yantai, China.

出版信息

Brief Bioinform. 2022 Jul 18;23(4). doi: 10.1093/bib/bbac227.

Abstract

In recent work, researchers have paid considerable attention to the estimation of causal effects in observational studies with a large number of covariates, which makes the unconfoundedness assumption plausible. In this paper, we review propensity score (PS) methods developed in high-dimensional settings and broadly group them into model-based methods that extend models for prediction to causal inference and balance-based methods that combine covariate balancing constraints. We conducted systematic simulation experiments to evaluate these two types of methods, and studied whether the use of balancing constraints further improved estimation performance. Our comparison methods were post-double-selection (PDS), double-index PS (DiPS), outcome-adaptive LASSO (OAL), group LASSO and doubly robust estimation (GLiDeR), high-dimensional covariate balancing PS (hdCBPS), regularized calibrated estimators (RCAL) and approximate residual balancing method (balanceHD). For the four model-based methods, simulation studies showed that GLiDeR was the most stable approach, with high estimation accuracy and precision, followed by PDS, OAL and DiPS. For balance-based methods, hdCBPS performed similarly to GLiDeR in terms of accuracy, and outperformed balanceHD and RCAL. These findings imply that PS methods do not benefit appreciably from covariate balancing constraints in high-dimensional settings. In conclusion, we recommend the preferential use of GLiDeR and hdCBPS approaches for estimating causal effects in high-dimensional settings; however, further studies on the construction of valid confidence intervals are required.

摘要

在最近的研究中,研究人员对具有大量协变量的观察性研究中的因果效应估计给予了相当大的关注,这使得无混杂假设变得合理。在本文中,我们回顾了在高维环境下开发的倾向评分(PS)方法,并将它们广泛地分为基于模型的方法和基于平衡的方法。基于模型的方法将用于预测的模型扩展到因果推断,而基于平衡的方法则结合了协变量平衡约束。我们进行了系统的模拟实验来评估这两种类型的方法,并研究了使用平衡约束是否进一步提高了估计性能。我们的比较方法是后双重选择(PDS)、双重指标 PS(DiPS)、结果自适应 LASSO(OAL)、组 LASSO 和双重稳健估计(GLiDeR)、高维协变量平衡 PS(hdCBPS)、正则化校准估计器(RCAL)和近似残差平衡方法(balanceHD)。对于前四个基于模型的方法,模拟研究表明 GLiDeR 是最稳定的方法,具有较高的估计准确性和精度,其次是 PDS、OAL 和 DiPS。对于基于平衡的方法,hdCBPS 在准确性方面与 GLiDeR 表现相似,优于 balanceHD 和 RCAL。这些发现表明,在高维环境下,PS 方法并没有从协变量平衡约束中获得明显的收益。总之,我们建议在高维环境中优先使用 GLiDeR 和 hdCBPS 方法来估计因果效应;然而,需要进一步研究构建有效的置信区间的方法。

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